Research
Land-climate interactions and their role in the climate system
Continents and oceans are the lower boundary for the atmosphere, with which they exchange water, energy and chemical compounds such as CO2. Similar to the oceans, which significantly contribute to climate variability by storage and exchanges of heat, land areas have a strong impact on climate variability through water storage (soil moisture, groundwater, snow) and evapotranspiration. Beside its significance as water input to the atmosphere, evapotranspiration is also part of the land energy balance and is tightly coupled with CO2 assimilation from vegetation. Moreover, land cover (vegetation, bare ground, snow, ice) also impacts albedo and the radiation balance. Hence interactions between land and the climate system are manifold and strongly interconnected. As an example, soil moisture-temperature coupling has been found to be a key driver of summer temperature variability in Europe, both in present (Mediterranean) and future (Northern and Eastern Europe) climate (external page Seneviratne et al. 2006, Nature). Gradual changes in soil moisture-coupling take place as global warming unfolds and induces shifts of climate regimes on the continent.
Despite their key role for the climate system, land-climate interactions are still the subject of significant uncertainties (external page Seneviratne et al. 2010, Earth-Science Reviews). A major issue is the lack of direct observations of the relevant climate variables (soil moisture, evapotranspiration), which impedes the understanding of the associated processes and their necessary validation in climate models. Hence, a focus of our research group is the analysis of existing observations, the intercomparison and merging of observation-based datasets, and the conducting of field experiments in order to reduce uncertainties and better constrain models. In particular, we investigate the definition of indirect diagnostics for the validation of land-climate interactions in climate models.
Research Areas
We use several modelling tools, including regional and global climate models (external page COSMO-CLM, ECHAM) as well as land surface models (external page Community Land Model (CLM), Terra_ML), to investigate interactions between land and climate, in particular by way of sensitivity experiments. We are interested in the quantification of land-atmosphere coupling and of individual land-atmosphere feedbacks at the regional and global scale, as well as in their role relative to other drivers of climate variability (radiation, sea surface temperatures). Special areas of interests are extreme events (droughts, heat waves, heavy precipitation events), seasonal forecasting, and modifications with global warming.
- Role of land-atmosphere coupling for climate variability extreme events (external page NRP61 DROUGHT-CH, external page NCCR-Climate Phase III, external page EU-FP6 project CECILIA, ERC DROUGHT-HEAT)
- Evaluation and improvement of current Earth System Models with respect to land-climate interactions (external page EU-FP7 EMBRACE, ERC DROUGHT-HEAT, external page EU-H2020 CRESCENDO)
- Impacts of extreme events on land carbon cycle (external page EU-FP7 CARBO-Extreme, SNF Sinergia Carbo-Count CH, ERC DROUGHT-HEAT)
- Soil moisture initialization for seasonal forecasting (external page GLACE-2 project), drought early warning (external page EU-FP7 DROUGHT-R&SPI, external page NRP61 DROUGHT-CH)
- Coupling of external page COSMO-CLM model with the external page Community Land Model (CLM): "COSMO-CLM2". This new model allows to perform regional climate simulations including a detailed representation of vegetation processes (vegetation dynamics, phenology, plant physiology, and CO2-water interactions) (SNF Sinergia Carbo-Count CH, MAIOLICA project).
We focus on the analysis of processes at the land-atmosphere interface, based on existing data (ground observations, satellite observations, observation-based datasets, model data). We investigate in particular processes controlling soil moisture and land processes in general (droughts, vegetation, snow cover, ecosystem exchanges, land water and energy cycles) as well as land-atmosphere interactions and feedbacks. An important aspect of our research is the validation of the corresponding processes and interactions in climate and land surface models.
Activities in this area:
- Analysis of land-atmosphere coupling and land persistence based on observations and model data (external page NRP61 DROUGHT-CH, external page NCCR-Climate Phase III, external page EU-FP6 project CECILIA, ERC DROUGH-HEAT)
- Evaluation of climate models with observations (e.g. external page EU-FP7 EMBRACE, ETH CHIRP2, external page ESA Soil moisture CCI, LandFlux-EVAL initiative, external page FLUXNET, ERC DROUGH-HEAT, external page EU-H2020 CRESCENDO)
- Assessment of drought development and drought-related damage in Europe and Switzerland (external page EU-FP7 DROUGHT-R&SPI, external page NRP61 DROUGHT-CH, external page NCCR-Climate Phase II/SwissRe, ERC DROUGHT-HEAT)
- Analysis of extreme temperature and precipitation events on global to regional scale (external page EU-FP6 project CECILIA, ERC DROUGHT-HEAT, external page Copernicus C3S_511)
An important research area of our group concerns the evaluation and intercomparison of existing land datasets, as well as the development of merged datasets based on several data sources. We recently initiated an intercomparison exercise sponsored by external page GEWEX and external page ILEAPS, LandFLUX-EVAL, aimed at the evaluation of current observation-based evapotranspiration datasets and the development of a reference benchmarking dataset. Furthermore, we have the climate lead of the external page ESA Soil moisture Climate Change Initiative (CCI), which aims at evaluating and using soil moisture remote sensing datasets for climate research. We are also newly coordinating the evaluation of observational and reference products for terrestrial Essential Climate Variables (ECVs) within the external page Copernicus C3S_511 project. Finally, we also maintain a diagnostic dataset (BSWB) of monthly variations in terrestrial water storage for several river basins. The BSWB estimates have been shown to compare well with available observations and are available for 37 river basins.
Since 2008, we are conducting a Switzerland-wide soil moisture measurement campaign (SwissSMEX) funded by SNF, in collaboration with Agroscope ART and MeteoSwiss. This campaign has been now expanded to forest sites, in collaboration with WSL (SwissSMEX-Veg), as well as to the inclusion of lysimeter measurements in Switzerland and neighbouring European countries. The data are used to assess spatio-temporal characteristics of soil moisture and evapotranspiration. Moreover, we are maintaining the Rietholzbach hydrological research station, which has been significantly expanded since 2008 (including now eddy-covariance flux measurements and comprehensive soil moisture measurements).
Research projects
- external page Copernicus C3S_511-Quality Assessment of ECV Products, 2017-2021
- external page EU-H2020 CRESCENDO, 2015-2020
- ERC Consolidator Grant "DROUGHT-HEAT", 2014-2019
- external page EU-FP7 EUCLEIA, 2014-2016
- external page ESA Soil moisture CCI, 2012-2014
- external page EU-FP7 EMBRACE, 2011-2015
- external page EU-FP7 DROUGHT-R&SPI, 2011-2014
- ETH CHIRP2, 2012-1015
- SNF Sinergia Carbo-Count CH, 2012-2014
- external page NRP61 DROUGHT-CH, 2010-2012
- external page EU-FP7 CARBO-Extreme, 2009-2013
- external page NCCR-Climate Phase III, 2009-2012
- SwissSMEX (SNF), 2008-2011
- MAIOLICA (CCES), 2008-2012
- external page NCCR-Climate Phase II (SwissRe-funded research project), 2007-2009
- external page EU-FP6 CECILIA, 2006-2009
Selected publications
Padron, R., L. Gudmundsson, B. Decharme, A. Ducharne, D.M. Lawrence, J. Mao, D. Peano, G. Krinner, H. Kim, and S.I. Seneviratne (2020): Observed changes in dry-season water availability attributed to human-induced climate change. Nature Geoscience, 13, 477-481. (external page link)
Beusch, L., L. Gudmundsson, S. I. Seneviratne, 2020: Emulating Earth system model temperatures with MESMER: from global mean temperature trajectories to grid-point-level realizations on land. Earth System Dynamics, 11, 139-159. (external page link)
Vogel, M. M., J. Zscheischler, R. Wartenburger, D. Dee, S. I. Seneviratne, 2019: Concurrent 2018 hot extremes across Northern Hemisphere due to human-induced climate change. Earth’s Future, 7, 692-703. (external page link)
Seneviratne, S.I., J. Rogelj, R. Séférian, R. Wartenburger, M.R. Allen, M. Cain, R.J. Millar, K.L. Ebi, N. Ellis, O. Hoegh-Guldberg, A.J. Payne, C.-F. Schleussner, P. Tschakert, R.F. Warren, 2018: The many possible climates from the Paris Agreement's aim of 1.5°C warming. Nature. 558, 41-49 (external page link)
Humphrey, V., J. Zscheischler, P. Ciais, L. Gudmundsson, S. Sitch, S.I. Seneviratne, 2018: Sensitivity of atmospheric CO2 growth rate to observed changes in terrestrial water storage. Nature, 560, 628-631 (external page link)
Zscheischler, J., and S.I. Seneviratne, 2017: Dependence of drivers affects risks associated with compound events. Science Advances, 3(6). (external page link)
Seneviratne, S.I., M. Donat, A.J. Pitman, R. Knutti, and R.L. Wilby, 2016: Allowable CO2 emissions based on regional and impact-related climate targets. Nature, published online. (external page link; ETH News; external page NZZ; external page Tagesanzeiger; external page Blick; external page Daily Mail; external page Japan Times)
Guillod, B.P., B. Orlowsky, D.G. Miralles, A.J. Teuling, and S.I. Seneviratne, 2015: Reconciling spatial and temporal soil moisture effects on afternoon rainfall. Nature Communications, 6, 6443. (external page link; ETH Life)
Davin, E.L., S.I. Seneviratne, P. Ciais, A. Olioso, and T. Wang, 2014: Preferential cooling of hot extremes from cropland albedo management. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 111(27), 9757-9761, doi:10.1073/pnas.1317323111 (external page link; ETH News; external page Spiegel; external page Nature News).
Greve, P., B. Orlowsky, B. Mueller, J. Sheffield, M. Reichstein, and S.I. Seneviratne, 2014: Global assessment of trends in wetting and drying over land. Nature Geoscience, 7, 716-721, doi: 10.1038/NGEO2247. (external page link; ETH News; external page Phys.org; external page 20 Minuten; external page Schweizer Bauer; external page Le Temps; external page Washington Post (online); external page Nature Geoscience News and Views)
Seneviratne, S.I., M. Donat, B. Mueller, and L.V. Alexander, 2014: No pause in the increase of hot temperature extremes. Nature Climate Change, 4, 161-163. (external page link; external page Reuters; external page The Economist; external page SRF2 Wissenschaftsmagazin; external page CBC; external page Climate Central)
Seneviratne, S.I., M. Wilhelm, T. Stanelle, B.J.J.M. van den Hurk, S. Hagemann, A. Berg, F. Cheruy, M.E. Higgins, A. Meier, V. Brovkin, M. Claussen, A. Ducharne, J.-L. Dufresne, K.L. Findell, J. Ghattas, D.M. Lawrence, S. Malyshev, M. Rummukainen, and B. Smith, 2013: Impact of soil moisture-climate feedbacks on CMIP5 projections: First results from the GLACE-CMIP5 experiment. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40 (19), 5212-5217 (external page link).
Mueller, B., and S.I. Seneviratne, 2012: Hot days induced by precipitation deficits at the global scale. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 109 (31), 12398-12403, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1204330109. (external page link; ETH Life article; external page TagesAnzeiger; external page Los Angeles Times; external page Research Highlight in Nature Geoscience)
Orlowsky, B., and S.I. Seneviratne, 2012: Global changes in extreme events: Regional and seasonal dimension. Climatic Change, 110, 669-696, doi: 10.1007/s10584-011-0122-9. (external page link)
Seneviratne, S.I., and R.D. Koster, 2012: A revised framework for analyzing soil moisture memory in climate data: Derivation and interpretation. J. Hydrometeorology, 13, 404-412, doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-11-044.1. (external page link)
Seneviratne, S.I., N. Nicholls, D. Easterling, C.M. Goodess, S. Kanae, J. Kossin, Y. Luo, J. Marengo, K. McInnes, M. Rahimi, M. Reichstein, A. Sorteberg, C. Vera, and X. Zhang, 2012: Changes in climate extremes and their impacts on the natural physical environment. In: Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation [Field, C.B., V. Barros, T.F. Stocker, D. Qin, D.J. Dokken, K.L. Ebi, M.D. Mastrandrea, K.J. Mach, G.-K. Plattner, S.K. Allen, M. Tignor, and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (external page link).
Davin, E.L, R. Stöckli, E.B. Jaeger, S. Levis, and S.I. Seneviratne, 2011: COSMO-CLM2: a new version of the COSMO-CLM model coupled to the Community Land Model. Climate Dynamics, 37, 1889-1907, doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1019-z. (external page link)
Hirschi, M., S.I. Seneviratne, V. Alexandrov, F. Boberg, C. Boroneant, O.B. Christensen, H. Formayer, B. Orlowsky, and P. Stepanek, 2011: Observational evidence for soil-moisture impact on hot extremes in southeastern Europe. Nature Geoscience, 4, 17-21, doi:10.1038/ngeo1032. (external page link; external page News and Views; ETH Life article)
Seneviratne, S.I., T. Corti, E.L. Davin, M. Hirschi, E.B. Jaeger, I. Lehner, B. Orlowsky, and A.J. Teuling, 2010: Investigating soil moisture-climate interactions in a changing climate: A review. Earth-Science Reviews, 99, 3-4, 125-161, doi:10.1016/j.earscirev.2010.02.004. (external page link)
Teuling, A.J., S.I. Seneviratne, R. Stöckli, M. Reichstein, E. Moors, P. Ciais, S. Luyssaert, B. van den Hurk, C. Ammann, C. Bernhofer, E. Dellwik, D. Gianelle, B. Gielen, T. Grünwald, K. Klumpp, L. Montagnani, C. Moureaux, M. Sottocornola, and G. Wohlfahrt, 2010: Contrasting response of European forest and grassland energy exchange to heatwaves. Nature Geoscience, 3, 722-727, doi:10.1038/ngeo950. (external page link; ETH life article)
Seneviratne, S.I., R.D. Koster, Z. Guo, P.A. Dirmeyer, E. Kowalczyk, D. Lawrence, P. Liu, C.-H. Lu, D. Mocko, K.W. Oleson, and D. Verseghy, 2006: Soil moisture memory in AGCM simulations: Analysis of Global Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (GLACE) data. J. Hydrometeor., 7, 1090-1112. (external page link)
Seneviratne, S.I., D. Lüthi, M. Litschi, and C. Schär, 2006: Land-atmosphere coupling and climate change in Europe. Nature, 443, 205-209. (external page pdf; external page suppl. info.; external page editor's summary)