Publications
Newest are listed first
| Indirect stratospheric moisture increase after a Pinatubo-magnitude eruption can be comparable to direct increase after 2022 Hunga Kroll, C. A. and Schmidt, A. comm, 5, 2024 https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01651-w |
| Resolving weather fronts increases the large-scale circulation response to Gulf Stream SST anomalies in variable-resolution CESM2 simulations Wills, R. C. J. and Herrington, A. R. and Simpson, I. R. and Battisti, D. S. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 16, e2023MS004123, 2024 https://doi.org/10.1029/2023MS004123 |
| Opinion: Optimizing climate models with process-knowledge, resolution, and AI Schneider, T. and Leung, L. R. and Wills, R. C. J. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 24, 7041-7062, 2024 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-24-7041-2024 |
| Sources of low-frequency variability in observed Antarctic sea ice Bonan, D. B., and Dörr, J. S. and Wills, R. C. J. and Thompson, A. F. and Årthun, M. The Cryosphere, 18, 2141-2159, 2024 https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-2141-2024 |
| Sea-surface temperature pattern effects have slowed global warming and biased warming-based constraints on climate sensitivity Armour, K. C. and Proistosescu, C. and Dong, Y. and Hahn, L. C. and Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E. and Pauling, A. G. and Wills, R. C. J. and Andrews, T. and Stuecker, M. F. and Po-Chedley, S. and Mitevski, I. and Forster, P. M. and Gregory J. M. PNAS, 121, e231209312, 2024 https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2312093121 |
| Climate variability can outweigh the influence of climate mean changes for extreme precipitation under global warming Nordling, K. and Fahrenbach, N. L. S. and Samset, B. H. Atmos. Chem. Phys. Discuss., 2024 https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1068 |
| The impact of stratospheric aerosol heating on the frozen hydrometeor transport pathways in the tropical tropopause layer Kroll, C. A., Fueglistaler, S., Schmidt, H., Dauhut, T. and Timmreck, C. Environmental Research Letters, 19, 2024 https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad33d0 |
| Effects of vertical grid spacing on the climate simulated in the ICON-Sapphire global storm-resolving model Schmidt, H., Rast, S., Bao, J., Cassim, A., Fang, S.-W., Jimenez-de la Cuesta, D., Keil, P., Kluft, L., Kroll, C., Lang, T., Niemeier, U., Schneidereit, A., Williams, A. I. L. and Stevens, B. Geoscientific Model Development, 17, 1563-1584, 2024 https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-1563-2024 |
| Asian anthropogenic aerosol forcing played a key role in the multi-decadal increase in Australian summer monsoon rainfall Fahrenbach, N. L. S. and Bollasina, M. A. and Samset, B. H. and Cowan, T. and Ekman, A. M. L. J. Climate, 37, 895-911, 2024 https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0313.1 |
| Connecting the SST pattern problem and the hot model problem Rugenstein, M. and Dhame, S. and Olonscheck, D. and Jnglin Wills, R. and Watanabe, M. and Seager R. Geophysical Research Letters, 50, e2023GL105488, 2023 https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL105488 |
| Forced and internal components of observed Arctic sea-ice changes Dörr, J.S. and Bonan, D.B. and Årthun, M. and Svendsen, L. and Jnglin Wills, R.C. The Cryosphere, 17, 4133-4153, 2023 https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-4133-2023 |
| Hemispheric-wide climate response to regional COVID-19-related aerosol emission reductions: the prominent role of atmospheric circulation adjustments Fahrenbach, N. L. S and Bollasina, M. A. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 23, 877-894, 2023 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-23-877-2023 |
| The future of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation: using large ensembles to illuminate time-varying responses and inter-model differences Maher, N. and Jnglin Wills, R. C. and DiNezio, P. and Klavans, J. and Milinski, S. and Sanchez, S. C. and Stevenson, S. and Stuecker, M. F. and Wu, X. Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 413-431, 2023 https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-14-413-2023 |
| Poleward shift in the Southern Hemisphere westerly winds synchronous with the deglacial rise in CO2 Gray, W. R. and de Lavergne, C. and Jnglin Wills, R. C. and Menviel, L. and Spence, P. and Holzer, M. and Kageyama, M. and Michel, E. Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, 38, e2023PA004666, 2023 https://doi.org/10.1029/2023PA004666 |
| Resolution dependence of atmosphere-ocean interactions and water-mass transformation in the North Atlantic Oldenburg, D. and Wills, R. C. J. and Armour, K. C. and Thompson L. J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, 127, 2022 https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JC018102 |
| Global decline in ocean memory over the 21st century Shi, H. and Jin, F.-F. and Wills, R. C. J. and Jacox, M. G. and Black, B. A. and Amaya, D. J. and Rykaczewski, R. R. and Bograd, S. J. and García-Reyes, M. and Sydeman, W. J. Science Advances, 8, 2022 https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abm3468 |
| Systematic climate model biases in the large-scale patterns of recent sea-surface temperature and sea-level pressure change Wills, R. C. J. and Dong, Y. and Proistosescu, C. and Armour, K. C. and Battisti D.S. Geophys. Res. Lett., 49, e2022GL100011, 2022 https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL100011 |
| Mechanisms of decadal North Atlantic climate variability and implications for the recent cold anomaly Årthun, M. and Wills, R. C. J. and Johnson, H. and Chafik, L. and Langehaug, H. R. J. Climate, 34, 3421-3439, 2021 https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0464.1 |
| Constraining the date of a seasonally ice-free Arctic using a simple model Bonan, D. B. and Schneider, T. and Eisenman, I. and Wills R. C. J. Geophys. Res. Lett., 48, e2021GL094309, 2021 https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL094309 |
| Is the surface salinity difference between the Atlantic and Indo-Pacific a signature of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation? Nilsson, J. and Ferreira, D. and Schneider, T. and Wills, R. C. J. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 51, 769-787, 2021 https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-20-0126.1 |
| Mechanisms of low-frequency variability in Atlantic northward ocean heat transport and AMOC Oldenburg D. and Wills, R. C. J. and Armour, K. C. and Thompson, L. and Jackson, L. C. J. Climate, 34, 4733-4755, 2021 https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0614.1 |
| Slow modes of global temperature variability and their impact on climate sensitivity estimates Wills, R. C. J. and Armour, K. C. and Battisti, D. S. and Proistosescu, C. and Parsons, L.A. J. Climate, 34, 8717-8738, 2021 https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-1013.1 |
| Wind-driven evolution of the North Pacific subpolar gyre over the last deglaciation Gray, W. R. and Wills, R. C. J. and Rae, J. W. B. and Burke, A. and Ivanovic, R. and Roberts, W. H. G. and Ferreira, D. and Valdes, P. J. Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, e2019GL086328, 2020 https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086328 |
| Magnitudes and spatial patterns of interdecadal temperature variability in CMIP6 Parsons, L. A., and Brennan, M. K. and Wills, R. C. J. and Proistosescu, C. Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, e2019GL086588, 2020 https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086588 |
| Overturning circulation, nutrient limitation, and warming in the glacial North Pacific Rae, J. W. B. and Gray, W. R. and Wills, R. C. J. and Eisenman, I. and Fitzhugh, B. and Littley, E. F. M. and Rafter, P. and Rees-Owen, R. and Ridgwell, A. and Taylor, B. and Burke, A. Science Advances, 6, 2020 https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abd1654 |
| Pattern recognition methods to separate forced responses from internal variability in climate model ensembles and observations Wills, R. C. J. and Battisti, D. S. and Armour, K. C. and Schneider, T. and Deser, C. J. Climate, 33, 8693-8719, 2020 https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0855.1 |
| Separating forced and unforced components of climate change: The utility of pattern recognition methods in Large Ensembles and observations Wills, R.C.J. and Sippel, S. and Barnes, E.A. US CLIVAR Variations, 18, 1-10, 2020 https://doi.org/10.5065/0DSY-WH17 |
| Ocean circulation signatures of North Pacific decadal variability Wills, R. C. J. and Battisti, D.S. and Proistosescu, C. and Thompson, L. and Hartmann, D.L. and Armour, K.C. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, 1690-1701, 2019 https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL080716 |
| Northern Hemisphere stationary waves in a changing climate Wills, R. C. J. and White, R. H. and Levine, X. J. Curr. Clim. Change Rep., 5, 372-389, 2019 https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-019-00147-6 |
| Ocean-atmosphere dynamical coupling fundamental to the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation Wills, R. C. J. and Armour, K.C. and Battisti, D.S. and Hartmann, D.L. J. Climate, 32, 251-272, 2019 https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0269.1 |
| Atlantic-Pacific asymmetry in deep water formation Ferreira, D., and Cessi, P. and Coxall, H. and de Boer, A. and Dijkstra, H. A. and Drijfhout, S. S. and Eldevik, T. and Harnik, N. and McManus, J. F. and Marshall, D. P. and Nilsson, J. and Roquet, F. and Schneider, T. and Wills, R. C. Annual Reviews of Earth and Planetary Sciences, 46, 327-352, 2018 https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-earth-082517-010045 |
| Deglacial upwelling, productivity and CO2 outgassing in the North Pacific Ocean Gray, W. R. and Rae, J. W. B. and Wills, R. C. J. and Shevenell, A. E. and Foster, G. L. and Lear, C. H. and Taylor, B. Nature Geoscience, 11, 340-344, 2018 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0108-6 |
| Disentangling global warming, multidecadal variability, and El Niño in Pacific temperatures Wills, R. C. and Schneider, T. and Wallace, J. M. and Battisti, D. S. and Hartmann, D. L. Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, 2487-2496, 2018 https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL076327 |
| Mechanisms setting the strength of orographic Rossby waves across a wide range of climates in a moist idealized GCM Wills, R.C.J. and Schneider, T. J. Climate, 31, 7679-7700, 2018 https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0700.1 |
| Local energetic constraints on Walker circulation strength Wills, R. C. and Levine, X. J. and Schneider, T. J. Atmos. Sci., 74, 1907-1922, 2017 https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-16-0219.1 |
| Extracting modes of variability and change from climate model ensembles Wills, R.C. and Battisti, D.S. and Hartmann, D.L. and Schneider, T. Proceedings of the 7th International Workshop on Climate Informatics: CI 2017, 25-28, 2017 https://doi.org/10.5065/D6222SH7 |
| Stationary eddies and zonal variations of the global hydrological cycle in a changing climate Wills, R. C. PhD thesis, 2016 https://doi.org/10.7907/Z91V5BX8 |
| How stationary eddies shape changes in the hydrological cycle: Zonally asymmetric experiments in an idealized GCM Wills, R. C. and Schneider T. J. Climate, 29, 3161-3179, 2016 https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0781.1 |
| Thermodynamic and dynamic controls on changes in the zonally anomalous hydrological cycle Wills, R. C. and Byrne, M.P. and Schneider, T. Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 4640-4649, 2016 https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL068418 |
| Stationary eddies and the zonal asymmetry of net precipitation and ocean freshwater forcing Wills, R. C. and Schneider T. J. Climate, 28, 5115-5133, 2015 https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00573.1 |