Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science

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Publications

Articles in Reviewed Journals (newest first)

  1. Jones, C. G., F. Adloff, B. B. B. Booth, P. M. Cox, V. Eyring, P. Friedlingstein, K. Frieler, H. T. Hewitt, H. A. Jeffery, S. Joussaume, T. Koenigk, B. N. Lawrence, E. O'Rourke, M. J. Roberts, B. M. Sanderson, R. Séférian, S. Somot, P. L. Vidale, D. van Vuuren, M. Acosta, M. Bentsen, R. Bernardello, R. Betts, E. Blockley, J. Boé, T. Bracegirdle, P. Braconnot, V. Brovkin, C. Buontempo, F. Doblas-Reyes, M. Donat, I. Epicoco, P. Falloon, S. Fiore, T. Frölicher, N. S. Fučkar, M. J. Gidden, H. F. Goessling, R. G. Graversen, S. Gualdi, J. M. Gutiérrez, T. Ilyina, D. Jacob, C. D Jones, M. Juckes, E. Kendon, E. Kjellström, R. Knutti, J. Lowe, M. Mizielinski, P. Nassisi, M. Obersteiner, P. Regnier, R. Roehrig, D. Salas y Mélia, C.-F. Schleussner, M. Schulz, E. Scoccimarro, L. Terray, H. Thiemann, R. A. Wood, S. Yang, S. Zaehle, 2024, Bringing it all together: science priorities for improved understanding of Earth system change and to support international climate policy, Earth System Dynamics, 15, 1319-1351, doi: 10.5194/esd-15-1319-2024, external page PDF.
  2. O’Reilly, C. H., L. Brunner, S. Qasmi, R. Nogherotto, A. P. Ballinger, B. Booth, D. J. Befort, R. Knutti, A. P. Schurer, A. Ribes, A. Weisheimer, E. Coppola, C. McSweeney, 2024, Assessing observational constraints on future European climate in an out-of-sample framework, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7, 95, doi: 10.1038/s41612-024-00648-8, external page PDF. 
  3. de Vries, I. S. Sippel, J. Zeder, E. Fischer and R. Knutti, 2024, Increasing extreme precipitation variability plays a key role in future record-shattering event probability, Communications Earth & Environment, 5, 482, doi: 10.1038/s43247-024-01622-1, external page PDF.
  4. Palazzo Corner, S., M. Siegert, P. Ceppi, B. Fox-Kemper, T. L. Frölicher, A. Gallego-Sala, J. Haigh, G. C. Hegerl, C. D. Jones, R. Knutti, C. D. Koven, A. H. MacDougall, M. Meinshausen, Z. Nicholls, J. B. Sallée, B. M. Sanderson, R. Séférian, M. Turetsky, R. G Williams, S. Zaehle, J. Rogelj, 2023, The Zero Emissions Commitment and climate stabilization, Frontiers in Science, 1, 1170744, doi: 10.3389/fsci.2023.1170744, external page PDF.
  5. Gessner, C., E. M. Fischer, U. Beyerle and R. Knutti, 2023, Developing Low‐Likelihood Climate Storylines for Extreme Precipitation Over Central Europe, Earth's Future, 11, e2023EF003628, doi: 10.1029/2023EF003628, external page PDF. 
  6. Merrifield, A. L., L. Brunner, R. Lorenz, V. Humphrey and R. Knutti, 2023, Climate model Selection by Independence, Performance, and Spread (ClimSIPS v1. 0.1) for regional applications, Geoscientific Model Development, 16, 4715-4747, doi: 10.5194/gmd-16-4715-2023, external page PDF.
  7. Fischer, E. M., U. Beyerle, L. Bloin-Wibe, C. Gessner, V. Humphrey, F. Lehner, A. G. Pendergrass, S. Sippel, J. Zeder and R. Knutti, 2023, Storylines for unprecedented heatwaves based on ensemble boosting, Nature Communications, 14, 4643, doi: 10.1038/s41467-023-40112-4, external page PDF.
  8. de Vries, I. E., S. Sippel, A. G. Pendergrass and R. Knutti, 2023, Robust global detection of forced changes in mean and extreme precipitation despite observational disagreement on the magnitude of change, Earth System Dynamics, 14, 81-100, doi: 10.5194/esd-14-81-2023, external page PDF.
  9. Schemm, S., D. Grund, R. Knutti, H. Wernli, M. Ackermann and G. Evensen, 2023, Learning from weather and climate science to prepare for a future pandemic, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 120, e2209091120, doi: 10.1073/pnas.2209091120, external page PDF.
  10. Domeisen, D., E. Eltahir, E. M. Fischer, R. Knutti, S. Perkins-Kirkpatrick, C. Schär, S. Seneviratne, A. Weisheimer and H. Wernli, 2022, Prediction and projection of heatwaves, Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, 4, 36-50, doi: 10.1038/s43017-022-00371-z, external page PDF.
  11. Egli, M., S. Sippel, A. G. Pendergrass, I. de Vries and R. Knutti, 2022, Reconstruction of zonal precipitation from sparse historical observations using climate model information and statistical learning, Geophysical Research Letters, 49, e2022GL099826, doi: 10.1029/2022GL099826, external page PDF.
  12. Cologna, V., C. Baumberger, R. Knutti, N. Oreskes and A. Berthold, 2022, The communication of value judgements and its effects on climate scientists’ perceived trustworthiness, Environmental Communication, 16, doi: 10.1080/17524032.2022.2153896, external page PDF.
  13. Gessner, C., E. M. Fischer, U. Beyerle and R. Knutti, 2022, Multi-year drought storylines for Europe and North America from an iteratively perturbed global cli-mate model, Weather and Climate Extremes, 100512, doi: 10.1016/j.wace.2022.100512, external page PDF. 
  14. Fischer, A. M., K. M. Strassmann, M. Croci-Maspoli, A. M. Hama, R. Knutti, S. Kotlarski, C. Schär, C. Schnadt Poberaj, N. Ban, M. Bavay, U. Beyerle, D. N. Bresch, S. Brönnimann, P. Burlando, A. Casanueva, S. Fatichi, I. Feigenwinter, E. M. Fischer, M. Hirschi, M. A. Liniger, C. Marty, I. Medhaug, N. Peleg, M. Pickl, C. C. Raible, J. Rajczak, O. Rössler, S. C. Scherrer, C. Schwierz, S. I. Seneviratne, M. Skelton, S. L. Sørland, C. Spirig, F. Tschurr, J. Zeder and E. M. Zubler, 2022, Climate Scenarios for Switzerland CH2018–Approach and Implications, Climate services, 26, 100288, doi: 10.1016/j.cliser.2022.100288, external page PDF.
  15. Sippel, S., N. Meinshausen, E. Székely, E. M. Fischer, A. G. Pendergrass, F. Lehner and R. Knutti, 2021, Robust detection of forced warming in the presence of poten-tially large climate variability, Science Advances, 7, 43, eabh4429, doi: 10.1126/sciadv.abh4429, external page PDF. 
  16. Röthlisberger, M., M. Hermann, C. Frei, F. Lehner, E. M. Fischer, R. Knutti and H. Wernli, 2021, A new framework for identifying and investigating seasonal climate extremes, Journal of Climate, 34, 19, 7761-7782, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0953.1, external page PDF. 
  17. Sanderson, B. M., A. G. Pendergrass, C. D. Koven, F. Brient, B. B. B. Booth, R. A. Fisher and R. Knutti, 2021, The potential for structural errors in emergent con-straints, Earth System Dynamics, 12, 3, 899-918, doi: 10.5194/esd-12-899-2021, external page PDF. 
  18. Fischer, E. M., S. Sippel and R. Knutti, 2021, Increasing probability of record-shattering climate extremes, Nature Climate Change, 11, 689-695, doi: 10.1038/s41558-021-01092-9, external page PDF.
  19. Gessner, C., E. M. Fischer, U. Beyerle and R. Knutti, 2021, Very rare heat ex-tremes: quantifying and understanding using ensemble reinitialization, Journal of Climate, 34, 6619-6634, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0916.1, external page PDF.
  20. Zumwald, M., C. Baumberger, D. N. Bresch and R. Knutti, 2021, Assessing the rep-resentational accuracy of data-driven models: The case of the effect of urban green infrastructure on temperature, Environmental Modelling & Software, 141, 105048, doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2021.105048, external page PDF.
  21. Burgstall, A., S. Kotlarski, A. Casanueva, E. Hertig, E. M. Fischer and R. Knutti, 2021, Urban multi-model climate projections of intense heat in Switzerland, Cli-mate Services, 22, 100228, doi: 10.1016/j.cliser.2021.100228, external page PDF.
  22. Tebaldi, C., K. Debeire, V. Eyring, E. M. Fischer, J. Fyfe, P. Friedlingstein, R. Knutti, J. Lowe, B. O'Neill, B. Sanderson, D. Van Vuuren, K. Riahi, M. Meinshau-sen, Z. Nicholls, K. B. Tokarska, G. Hurtt, E. Kriegler, J.-F. Lamarque, G. Meehl, R. Moss, S. E. Bauer, O. Boucher, V. Brovkin, Y.-H. Byun, M. Dix, S. Gualdi, H. Guo, J. G. John, S. Kharin, Y. H. Kim, T. Koshiro, L. Ma, D. Olivié, S. Panickal, F. Qiao, X. Rong, N. Rosenbloom, M. Schupfner, R. Séférian, A. Sellar, T. Semmler, X. Shi, Z. Song, C. Steger, R. Stouffer, N. Swart, K. Tachiiri, Q. Tang, H. Tatebe, A. Voldoire, E. Volodin, K. Wyser, X. Xin, S. Yang, Y. Yu, T. Ziehn, 2021, Climate model projections from the scenario model intercomparison project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6, Earth System Dynamics, 12, 1, 253-293, doi: 10.5194/esd-12-253-2021, external page PDF.
  23. Cologna, V., R. Knutti, N. Oreskes and M Siegrist, 2021, Majority of German citi-zens, US citizens and climate scientists support policy advocacy by climate re-searchers and expect greater political engagement, Environmental Research Letters, 16 (2), 024011, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/abd4ac, external page PDF.
  24. Matthews, H. D., K. B. Tokarska, J. Rogelj, C. J. Smith, A. H. MacDougall, K. Haustein, N. Mengis, S. Sippel, P. M. Forster and R. Knutti, 2021, An integrated approach to quantifying uncertainties in the remaining carbon budget, Communica-tions Earth & Environment, 2, 7, doi: 10.1038/s43247-020-00064-9, external page PDF.
  25. Matthews, H. D., K. B. Tokarska, Z. R. J. Nicholls, J. Rogelj, J. G. Canadell, P. Friedlingstein, T. L. Frölicher, P. M. Forster, N. P. Gillett, T. Ilyina, R. B. Jackson, C. D. Jones, C. Koven, R. Knutti, A. H. MacDougall, M. Meinshausen, N. Mengis, R. Séférian, K. Zickfeld, 2021, Opportunities and challenges in using remaining carbon budgets to guide climate policy, Nature Geoscience, 13 (12), 769-779, doi: 10.1038/s41561-020-00663-3, external page PDF.
  26. Gillett, N.P., M. Kirchmeier-Young, A. Ribes, H. Shiogama, G. C. Hegerl, R. Knutti, G. Gastineau, J. G. John, L. Li, L. Nazarenko, N. Rosenbloom, Ø. Seland, T. Wu, S. Yukimoto and T. Ziehn, 2021, Constraining human contributions to observed warming since the pre-industrial period, Nature Climate Change, 1, 3, 207-212, doi: 10.1038/s41558-020-00965-9, external page PDF.
  27. Zumwald, M., B. Knüsel, D. N. Bresch and R. Knutti, 2021, Mapping urban tem-perature using crowd-sensing data and machine learning, Urban Climate, 35, 100739, doi: 10.1016/j.uclim.2020.100739, external page PDF.
  28. Brunner, L., C. McSweeney, A. P. Ballinger, D. J. Befort, M. Benassi, B. Booth, E. Coppola, H. de Vries, G. Harris, G. C. Hegerl, R. Knutti, G. Lenderink, J. Lowe, R. Nogherotto, C. O’Reilly, S. Qasmi, A. Ribes, P. Stocchi and S. Undorf, 2020, Comparing methods to constrain future European climate projections using a consistent framework, Journal of Climate, 33 (20), 8671–8692, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0953.1, external page PDF.
  29. Brunner, L., A. G. Pendergrass, F. Lehner, A. L. Merrifield, R. Lorenz and R. Knutti, 2020, Reduced global warming from CMIP6 projections when weighting models by performance and independence, Earth System Dynamics, 11(4), 995–1012, doi: 10.5194/esd-11-995-2020, external page PDF.external page
  30. Deser, C., F. Lehner, K. B. Rodgers, T. Ault, T. L. Delworth, P. N. DiNezio, A. Fiore, C. Frankignoul, J. C. Fyfe, D. E. Horton, J. E. Kay, R. Knutti, N. S. Lovenduski, J. Marotzke, K. A. McKinnon, S. Minobe, J. Randerson, J. A. Screen, I. R. Simpson and M. Ting, 2020, Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects, Nature Climate Change, 10(4), 277–286, doi: 10.1038/s41558-020-0731-2, external page PDF.
  31. Huguenin, M. F., E. M. Fischer, S. Kotlarski, S. C. Scherrer, C. Schwierz and R. Knutti, 2020, Lack of change in the projected frequency and persistence of atmospheric circulation types over Central Europe, Geophysical Research Letters, 47(9), doi: 10.1029/2019GL086132, external page PDF.
  32. Knüsel, B., C. Baumberger, M. Zumwald, C. N. Bresch and R. Knutti, 2020, Argument-based assessment of predictive uncertainty of data-driven environmental models, Environmental Modeling and Software, 134, 104754, doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2020.104754, external page PDF.
  33. Lehner, F., C. Deser, N. Maher, J. Marotzke, E. M. Fischer, L. Brunner, R. Knutti and E. Hawkins, 2020, Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6, Earth System Dynamics, 11(2), 491–508, doi: 10.5194/esd-11-491-2020, external page PDF.
  34. Merrifield, A. L., L. Brunner, R. Lorenz, I. Medhaug and R. Knutti, 2020, An investigation of weighting schemes suitable for incorporating large ensembles into multi-model ensembles, Earth System Dynamics, 11(3), 807–834, doi: 10.5194/esd-11-807-2020, external page PDF.
  35. Rugenstein, M., J. Bloch‐Johnson, J. Gregory, T. Andrews, T. Mauritsen, C. Li, T. L. Frölicher, D. Paynter, G. Danabasoglu, S. Yang, J. Dufresne, L. Cao, G. A. Schmidt, A. Abe‐Ouchi, O. Geoffroy and R. Knutti, 2020, Equilibrium climate sensitivity estimated by equilibrating climate models, Geophysical Research Letters, 47(4), doi: 10.1029/2019GL083898, external page PDF.
  36. Sherwood, S., M. J. Webb, J. D. Annan, K. C. Armour, P. M. Forster, J. C. Hargreaves, G. Hegerl, S. A. Klein, K. D. Marvel, E. J. Rohling, M. Watanabe, T. Andrews, P. Braconnot, C. S. Bretherton, G. L. Foster, Z. Hausfather, A. S. von der Heydt, R. Knutti, T. Mauritsen, J. R. Norris, C. Proistosescu, M: Rugenstein, G. A. Schmidt, K. B. Tokarska and M. D. Zelinka, 2020, An assessment of Earth’s climate sensitivity using multiple lines of evidence, Reviews of Geophysics, doi: 10.1029/2019RG000678, external page PDF.
  37. Sippel, S., E. M. Fischer, S. C. Scherrer, N. Meinshausen and R. Knutti, 2020, Late 1980s abrupt cold season temperature change in Europe consistent with circulation variability and long-term warming, Environmental Research Letters, 15(9), 094056, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab86f2, external page PDF.
  38. Sørland, S. L., A. M. Fischer, S. Kotlarski, H. R. Künsch, M. A. Liniger, J. Rajczak, C. Schär, C. Spirig, K. Strassmann and R. Knutti, 2020, CH2018 – National climate scenarios for Switzerland: How to construct consistent multi-model projections from ensembles of opportunity, Climate Services, 20, 100196, doi: 10.1016/j.cliser.2020.100196, external page PDF.
  39. Stolpe, M. B., K. Cowtan, I. Medhaug and R. Knutti, 2020, Pacific variability reconciles observed and modelled global mean temperature increase since 1950, Climate Dynamics, doi: 10.1007/s00382-020-05493-y, external page PDF.
  40. Tokarska, K. B., M. B. Stolpe, S. Sippel, E. M. Fischer, C. J. Smith, F. Lehner and R. Knutti, 2020, Past warming trend constrains future warming in CMIP6 models, Science Advances, 6(12), eaaz9549, doi: 10.1126/sciadv.aaz9549, external page PDF.
  41. Tokarska, K. B., V. K. Arora, N. P. Gillett, F. Lehner, J. Rogelj, C.-F. Schleussner, R. Séférian and R. Knutti, 2020, Uncertainty in carbon budget estimates due to internal climate variability, Environmental Research Letters, 15(10), 104064, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/abaf1b, external page PDF.
  42. Zumwald, M., B. Knüsel, C. Baumberger, G. Hirsch Hadorn, D. N. Bresch and R. Knutti, 2020, Understanding and assessing uncertainty of observational climate datasets for model evaluation using ensembles, WIREs Climate Change, 1–19, doi: 10.1002/wcc.654, external page PDF.
  43. Sippel, S., N. Meinshausen, E. M. Fischer, E. Székely and R. Knutti, 2020, Climate change now detectable from any single day of weather at global scale, Nature Climate Change, 10(1), 35-41, doi: 10.1038/s41558-019-0666-7, external page PDF.
  44. Brunner, L., R. Lorenz, M. Zumwald and R. Knutti, 2019, Quantifying uncertainty in European climate projections using combined performance-independence weighting, Environmental Research Letters, 14(12), 124010, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab492f, external page PDF.
  45. Skelton, M., J. J. Porter, S. Dessai, D. N. Bresch and R. Knutti, 2019, Customising global climate science for national adaptation: A case study of climate projections in UNFCCC’s National Communications, Environmental Science & Policy, 101, 16-23, doi: 10.1016/j.envsci.2019.07.015, external page PDF.
  46. Rugenstein, M., J. Bloch-Johnson, A. Abe-Ouchi, T. Andrews, U. Beyerle, L. Cao, T. Chadha, G. Danabasoglu, J. Dufresne, L. Duan,  M. A. Foujols, T. Frölicher, O. Geoffroy, J. Gregory, R. Knutti, C. Li, A. Marzocchi, T. Mauritsen, M. Menary, E. Moyer,L. Nazarenko, D. Paynter, D. Saint-Martin, G. A. Schmidt, A. Yamamoto and S. Yang, 2019, LongRunMIP–motivation and design for a large collection of millennial-length AO-GCM simulations, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0068.1, external page PDF.
  47. Stolpe, M. B., I. Medhaug, U. Beyerle and R. Knutti, 2019, Weak dependence of future global mean warming on the background climate state, Climate Dynamics, doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04849-3, external page PDF.
  48. Sippel, S., N. Meinshausen, A. Merrifield, F. Lehner, A.G. Pendergrass, E. Fischer and R. Knutti, 2019, Uncovering the forced climate response from a single ensemble member using statistical learning, Journal of Climate, external page PDF.
  49. Herger, N., G. Abramowitz, S. Sherwood, R. Knutti, O. Angélil, and S. A. Sisson, 2019, Ensemble optimisation, multiple constraints and overconfidence: a case study with future Australian precipitation change, Climate Dynamics, 1-16, doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04690-8, external page PDF
  50. Heinze, C., V. Eyring, P. Friedlingstein, C. Jones, Y. Balkanski, W. Collins, T. Fichefet, S. Gao, A. Hall, D. Ivanova, W. Knorr, R. Knutti, A. Löw, M. Ponater, M.G Schultz, M. Schulz, P. Siebesma, J. Teixeira, G. Tselioudis, M. Vancoppenolle, 2019, Climate feedbacks in the Earth system and prospects for their evaluation. Earth System Dynamics, 10(3), 379-452, doi: 10.5194/esd-10-379-2019, external page PDF.
  51. Knüsel, B., M. Zumwald, C. Baumberger, G. H. Hadorn, E. M. Fischer, D. N. Bresch and R. Knutti, 2019, Applying big data beyond small problems in climate research, Nature Climate Change, 9(3), 196, doi: 10.1038/s41558-019-0404-1, external page PDF.
  52. Abramowitz, G., N. Herger, E. Gutmann, D. Hammerling, R. Knutti, M. Leduc, R. Lorenz, R. Pincus and G. A. Schmidt, 2019, Model dependence in multi-model climate ensembles: weighting, sub-selection and out-of-sample testing, Earth System Dynamics 10, 91-105, doi: 10.5194/esd-10-91-2019, external page PDF.
  53. Pendergrass, A.G, and R. Knutti, 2018, The uneven nature of daily precipitation and its change, Geophysical Research Letters, 45(21), 11-980, doi: 10.1029/2018GL080298, external page PDF.
  54. Fischer, E.M, U. Beyerle, C.F. Schleussner, A.D. King and R. Knutti, 2018, Biased Estimates of Changes in Climate Extremes From Prescribed SST Simulations, Geophysical Research Letters, 45(16), 8500-8509, doi: 10.1029/2018GL079176, external page PDF.
  55. King, A.D, R. Knutti, P. Uhe, D.M. Mitchell, S.C. Lewis, J.M. Arblaster and N. Freychet, 2018, On the linearity of local and regional temperature changes from 1.5° C to 2° C of global warming, Journal of Climate, 31, 7495-7514, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0649.1, external page PDF.
  56. Lorenz, R. N. Herger, J. Sedláček, V. Eyring, E.M. Fischer and R. Knutti, 2018, Prospects and caveats of weighting climate models for summer maximum temperature projections over North America, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 123 (9), 4509-4526, doi: 10.1029/2017JD027992, external page PDF.
  57. Tebaldi, C. and R. Knutti, 2018, Evaluating the accuracy of climate change pattern emulation for low warming targets, Environmental Research Letters, 13, 055006, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aabef2, external page PDF.
  58. Herger, N., G. Abramowitz, R. Knutti, O. Angélil, K. Lehmann and B.M. Sanderson, 2018, Selecting a climate model subset to optimise key ensemble properties, Earth System Dynamics, 9, 135-151, doi: 10.5194/esd-9-135-2018, external page PDF.
  59. Stolpe, M.B., I. Medhaug, J. Sedláček and R. Knutti, 2018, Multidecadal Variability in Global Surface Temperatures Related to the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, Journal of Climate, 31, 2889-2906, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0444.1, external page PDF.
  60. Pendergrass, A.G., R. Knutti, F. Lehner, C. Deser and B.M. Sanderson, 2017, Precipitation variability increases in a warmer climate, Scientific Reports, 17966, doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-17966-y, external page PDF.
  61. Matthews, H.D., K. Zickfeld, R. Knutti and M.R. Allen, 2017, Focus on cumulative emissions, global carbon budgets and the implications for climate mitigation targets, Environmental Research Letters, 13, 010201, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa98c9, external page PDF.
  62. Borodina, A., E.M. Fischer and R. Knutti, 2017, Potential to constrain projections of hot temperature extremes, Journal of Climate, 30, 9949-9964, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0848.1, external page PDF.
  63. Knutti, R. M.A.A. Rugenstein and G.C. Hegerl, 2017, Beyond equilibrium climate sensitivity, Nature Geoscience, 10, 727-736, doi: 10.1038/ngeo3017, external page PDF.
  64. Saffioti, C., E.M. Fischer and R. Knutti, 2017, Improved Consistency of Climate Projections over Europe after Accounting for Atmospheric Circulation Variability, Journal of Climate, 30, 7271-7291, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0695.1, external page PDF.
  65. Andersen, H., J. Cermak, J. Fuchs, R. Knutti and U. Lohmann, 2017, Understanding the drivers of marine liquid-water cloud occurrence and properties with global observations using neural networks, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 17, 9535-9546, doi: 10.5194/acp-17-9535-2017, external page PDF.
  66. Stolpe, M.B., I. Medhaug and R. Knutti, 2017, Contribution of Atlantic and Pacific Multidecadal Variability to Twentieth-Century Temperature Changes, Journal of Climate, 30, 6279-6295, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0803.1, external page PDF.
  67. Borodina, A., E.M. Fischer and R. Knutti, 2017, Models are likely to underestimate increase in heavy rainfall in the extratropical regions with high rainfall intensity, Geophysical Research Letters, 44, 7401-7409, doi: 10.1002/2017GL074530, external page PDF.
  68. Sanderson, B.M., M. Wehner and R. Knutti, 2017, Skill and independence weighting for multi-model assessments, Geoscientific Model Development, 10, 2379-2395, doi: 10.5194/gmd-10-2379-2017, external page PDF.
  69. Dahinden, F., E.M. Fischer and R. Knutti, 2017, Future local climate unlike currently observed anywhere, Environmental Research Letters, 12, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa75d7, external page PDF.
  70. Medhaug, I., M.B. Stolpe, E.M. Fischer and R. Knutti, 2017, Reconciling controversies about the ‘global warming hiatus’, Nature, 545, 41-47, doi: 10.1038/nature22315, external page PDF.
  71. Baumberger, C., R. Knutti and G. Hirsch Hadorn, 2017, Building confidence in climate model projections: an analysis of inferences from fit, Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 8, doi: 10.1002/wcc.454, external page PDF.
  72. Borodina, A., E.M. Fischer and R. Knutti, 2017, Emergent Constraints in Climate Projections: A Case Study of Changes in High-Latitude Temperature Variability, Journal of Climate, 30, 3655-3670, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0662.1, external page PDF.
  73. Knutti, R., J. Sedláček, B.M. Sanderson, R. Lorenz, E.M. Fischer and V. Eyring, 2017, A climate model projection weighting scheme accounting for performance and interdependence, Geophysical Research Letters, 44, 1909-1918, doi: 10.1002/2016GL072012, external page PDF.
  74. Keller, D.E., A.M. Fischer, M.A. Liniger, C. Appenzeller and R. Knutti, 2017, Testing a weather generator for downscaling climate change projections over Switzerland, International Journal of Climatologoy, 37, 928-942, doi: 10.1002/joc.4750, external page PDF.
  75. Sanderson, B.M, Y. Xu, C. Tebaldi, M. Wehner, B. O'Neill, A. Jahn, A.G. Pendergrass, F. Lehner, W.G. Strand, L. Lin, R. Knutti, J.-F. Lamarque, 2017, Community climate simulations to assess avoided impacts in 1.5 and 2°C futures, Earth System Dynamics, 8, 827-847, doi: 10.5194/esd-8-827-2017, external page PDF.
  76. Skelton, M., J.J. Porter, S. Dessai, D.N. Bresch and R. Knutti, 2017, The social and scientific values that shape national climate scenarios: a comparison of the Netherlands, Switzerland and the UK, Regional Environmental Change, 1-14, doi: 10.1007/s10113-017-1155-z, external page PDF.
  77. MacDougall, A.H., N.C. Swart and R. Knutti, 2016, The uncertainty in the transient climate response to cumulative CO2 emissions arising from the uncertainty in physical climate parameters, Journal of Climate, 30, 813-827, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0205.1, external page PDF.
  78. Fischer, E.M. and R. Knutti, 2016, Observed heavy precipitation increase confirms theory and early models, Nature Climate Change, 6, 986-991, doi: 10.1038/nclimate3110, external page PDF.
  79. Gillett, N.P., H. Shiogama, B. Funke, G. Hegerl, R. Knutti, K. Matthes, B.D. Santer, D. Stone and C. Tebaldi, 2016, The Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project (DAMIP v1.0) contribution to CMIP6, Geoscientific Model Development, 9, 3685-3697, doi: 10.5194/gmd-9-3685-2016, external page PDF.
  80. McMahon, R., M. Stauffacher and R. Knutti, 2016, The scientific veneer of IPCC visuals, Climatic Change, 138, 369-381, doi: 10.1007/s10584-016-1758-2, external page PDF.
  81. Rugenstein, M.A.A, K. Caldeira and R. Knutti, 2016, Dependence of global radiative feedbacks on evolving patterns of surface heat fluxes, Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 9877-9885, doi: 10.1002/2016GL070907, external page PDF.
  82. O'Neill, B.C, C. Tebaldi, D.P. Van Vuuren, V. Eyring, P. Friedlingstein, G. Hurtt, R. Knutti, E. Kriegler, J.-F. Lamarque, J. Lowe, G.A. Meehl, R. Moss, K. Riahi and B.M. Sanderson, 2016, The scenario model intercomparison project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6, Geoscientific Model Development, 9, 3461-3482, doi: 10.5194/gmd-9-3461-2016, external page PDF.
  83. Saffioti, C., E.M. Fischer, S.C. Scherrer and R. Knutti, 2016, Reconciling observed and modeled temperature and precipitation trends over Europe by adjusting for circulation variability, Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 8189-8198, doi: 10.1002/2016GL069802, external page PDF.
  84. Schleussner, C.F., J. Rogelj, M. Schaeffer, T. Lissner, R. Licker, E.M. Fischer, R. Knutti, A. Levermann, K. Frieler and W. Hare, 2016, Science and policy characteristics of the Paris Agreement temperature goal, Nature Climate Change, 6, 827-835, doi: 10.1038/nclimate3096, external page PDF.
  85. Hallegatte, S., J. Rogelj, M. Allen, L. Clarke, O. Edenhofer, C. Field, P. Friedlingstein, L. van Kesteren, R. Knutti, K. Mach, M. Mastrandrea, A. Michel, J. Minx, M. Oppenheimer, G.-K. Plattner, K. Riahi, M. Schaeffer, T.F. Stocker and D. van Vuuren, 2016, Mapping the climate change challenge, Nature Climate Change, 6, 663-668, doi: 10.1038/nclimate3057, external page PDF.
  86. MacDougall, A.H. and R. Knutti, 2016, Enhancement of non-CO2 radiative forcing via intensified carbon cycle feedbacks, Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 5833-5840, doi: 10.1002/2016GL068964, external page PDF.
  87. Rugenstein, M.A.A., J. M. Gregory, N. Schaller, J. Sedláček and R. Knutti, 2016, Multi-annual ocean-atmosphere adjustments to radiative forcing, Journal of Climate, 29, 5643-5659, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0312.1, external page PDF.
  88. MacDougall, A.H. and R. Knutti, 2016, Projecting the release of carbon from permafrost soils using a perturbed parameter ensemble modelling approach, Biogeosciences, 13, 2123-2136, doi:10.5194/bg-13-2123-2016, external page PDF.
  89. Rugenstein, M.A.A., J. Sedláček and R. Knutti, 2016, Nonlinearities in patterns of long term ocean warming, Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 3380-3388, doi: 10.1002/2016GL068041, external page PDF.
  90. Scherrer, S.C., E.M. Fischer, R. Posselt, M.A. Liniger, M. Croci-Maspoli and R. Knutti, 2016, Emerging trends in heavy precipitation and hot temperature extremes in Switzerland, Journal of Geophysical Research Atmosphere, 121, doi: 10.1002/2015JD024634, Download PDF (PDF, 2.6 MB).
  91. Rogelj, R., M. Schaeffer, P. Friedlingstein, N. Gillett, D. van Vuuren, K. Riahi, M. Allen and R. Knutti, 2016, Differences between carbon budget estimates unravelled, Nature Climate Change, 6, 245-252, doi: 10.1038/nclimate2868, external page PDF
  92. Seneviratne, S.I., M.G. Donat, A.J. Pitman, R. Knutti and R.L. Wilby, 2016, Allowable CO2 emissions based on regional and impact-related climate targets, Nature, 529, 477-483, doi: 10.1038/nature16542, external page PDF
  93. Dallafior, T.N., D. Folini, R. Knutti and M. Wild, 2015, Mixed-layer ocean responses to anthropogenic aerosol dimming from 1870 to 2000, Journal of Geophysical Research Atmosphere, 121, doi:10.1002/2015JD024070, external page PDF
  94. Knutti, R., J. Rogelj, J. Sedláček and E.M. Fischer, 2015, A scientific critique of the two-degree climate change target, Nature Geoscience, 9, 13-18, doi: 10.1038/ngeo2595, Download PDF (PDF, 1.2 MB)
  95. MacDougall, A.H., K. Zickfeld, R. Knutti and H.D. Matthews, 2015, Sensitivity of carbon budgets to permafrost carbon feedbacks, non-CO2 forcings, and negative emissions, Environmental Research Letters, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/125003, Download PDF (PDF, 1.2 MB)
  96. Frenger, I., M. Münnich, N. Gruber and R. Knutti, 2015, Southern Ocean Eddy Phenomenology, Journal of Geophysical Resarch - Oceans, doi: 10.1002/2015JC011047, external page PDF
  97. Rogelj, J., M. Schaeffer, M. Meinshausen, R. Knutti, J. Alcamo, K. Riahi and W. Hare, 2015, Zero emission targets as long-term global goals for climate protection, Environmental Research Lettters, 105007, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/10/105007, Download PDF (PDF, 1.2 MB)
  98. Knutti, R. and M.A.A. Rugenstein, 2015, Feedbacks, climate sensitivity, and the limits of linear model, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, 373, 20150146, doi: 10.1098/rsta.2015.0146, Download PDF (PDF, 670 KB)
  99. McMahon, R., M. Stauffacher and R. Knutti, 2015, The unseen uncertainties in climate change: reviewing comprehension of an IPCC scenario graph, Climatic Change, 133, 141-154, doi: 10.1007/s10584-015-1473-4, Download PDF (PDF, 663 KB)
  100. Rogelj, J., M. Meinshausen, M. Schaeffer, R. Knutti and K. Riahi, 2015, Impact of short-lived non-CO2 mitigation on carbon budgets for stabilizing global warming, Environmental Research Letters, 10, 075001, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/7/075001, Download PDF (PDF, 938 KB)
  101. Rogelj, J., A. Reisinger, D.L. McCollum, R. Knutti, K. Riahi and M. Meinshausen, 2015, Mitigation choices impact carbon budget size compatible with low temperature goals, Environmental Research Letters, 10, 075003, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/7/075003, Download PDF (PDF, 887 KB)
  102. Fischer, E.M. and R. Knutti, 2015, Anthropogenic contribution to global occurrence of heavy-precipitation and high-temperature extremes, Nature Climate Change, 5, 560-564, doi: 10.1038/nclimate2617. external page Article, Download Supplementary Information, (PDF, 1.4 MB)external page Nature News and Views
  103. Keller, D.E., A.M. Fischer, C. Frei, M.A. Liniger, C. Appenzeller and R. Knutti, 2015, Implementation and validation of a Wilks-type multi-site daily precipitation generator over a typical Alpine river catchment, HESS, 19, 2163-2177,doi: 10.5194/hess-19-2163-2015, Download PDF (PDF, 1.3 MB)
  104. Sanderson, B.M., R. Knutti and P. Caldwell, 2015, Addressing interdependency in a multi-model ensemble, Journal of Climate, 28, 5150-5170, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00361.1, Download PDF (PDF, 2.1 MB)
  105. Sanderson, B.M., R. Knutti and P. Caldwell, 2015, A representative democracy to reduce interdependency in a multi-model ensemble, Journal of Climate, 28, 5171-5194, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00362.1, Download PDF (PDF, 2.2 MB)
  106. Saffioti, C., E.M. Fischer and R. Knutti, 2015, Contributions of atmospheric circulation variability and data coverage bias to the warming hiatus, Geophysical Research Letters, 42, doi: 10.1002/2015GL063091, Download PDF (PDF, 1.1 MB)
  107. Dallafior, T.N., D. Folini, R. Knutti and M. Wild, 2015, Dimming over the Oceans: Transient Anthropogenic Aerosol Plumes in the 20th Century, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 120, 3465–3484, doi: 10.1002/2014JD022658, Download PDF (PDF, 2 MB)
  108. Herger, N., B.M. Sanderson and R. Knutti, 2015, Improved pattern scaling approaches for the use in climate impact studies, Geophysical Research Letters, 42, doi: 10.1002/2014JD022658, Download PDF (PDF, 1.4 MB)
  109. Knutti, R. and J. Rogelj, 2015, The legacy of our CO2 emissions: a clash of scientific facts, politics and ethics, Climatic Change, doi: 10.1007/s10584-015-1340-3, Download PDF (PDF, 439 KB)
  110. Bahn, O., M. Chesney, J. Gheyssens, R. Knutti and A.C. Pana, 2015, Is there room for geoengineering in the optimal climate policy mix?, Environmental Science and Policy, 48, 67-76, doi: 10.1016/j.envsci.2014.12.014, Download PDF (PDF, 1.3 MB)
  111. Fischer, E.M., J. Sedláček, E. Hawkins and R. Knutti, 2014, Models agree on forced response pattern of precipitation and temperature extremes, Geophysical Research Letters, 41, doi: 10.1002/2014GL062018, Download PDF (PDF, 2.2 MB)
  112. Friedlingstein, P., R.M. Andrew, J. Rogelj, G.P. Peters, J.G. Canadell, R. Knutti, G. Luderer, M.R. Raupach, M. Schaeffer, D.P. van Vuuren and C. Le Quéré, 2014, Persistent growth of CO2 emissions and implications for reaching climate targets, Nature Geoscience, 7, 709-715, doi: 10.1038/ngeo2248, Download PDF (PDF, 965 KB)
  113. Huber, M.B. and R. Knutti, 2014, Natural variability, radiative forcing and climate response in the recent hiatus reconciled, Nature Geoscience, 7, 651-656, doi: 10.1038/NGEO2228, Download PDF (PDF, 1.6 MB)
  114. Hawkins, E., B. Anderson, N. Diffenbaugh, I. Mahlstein, R. Betts, G. Hegerl, M. Joshi, R. Knutti, D. McNeall, S. Solomon, R. Sutton, J. Syktus., and G. Vecchi, 2014, Uncertainties in the timing of unprecedented climates, Nature, 511, E3–E5, doi: 10.1038/nature1352, Download PDF (PDF, 431 KB)
  115. Schaller, N., J. Sedláček and R. Knutti, 2014, The asymmetry of the climate system's response to solar forcing changes and its implications for geoengineering scenarios, Journal of Geophysical Research, 119, doi: 10.1002/2013JD021258, Download PDF (PDF, 3.9 MB)
  116. Sedláček, J. and R. Knutti, 2014, Half of the world's population experience robust changes in the water cycle for a 2 °C warmer world, Environmental Research Letters, 9, 044008,  doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/4/044008, external page PDF
  117. Rogelj, J., M. Meinshausen, J. Sedláček and R. Knutti, 2014, Implications of potentially lower climate sensitivity on climate projections and policy, Environmental Research Letters, 9, 031003, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/3/031003, Download PDF (PDF, 315 KB)
  118. Huber, M., U. Beyerle and R. Knutti, 2014, Estimating climate sensitivity and future temperature in the presence of natural variability, Geophysical Research Letters, 41, 2086-2092, doi: 10.1002/2013GL058532, Download PDF (PDF, 931 KB)
  119. Brönnimann, S., C. Appenzeller, M. Croci-Maspoli, J.Fuhrer, M. Grosjean, R. Hohmann, K. Ingold, R. Knutti, M. A. Liniger, C. C. Raible, R. Röthlisberger, C. Schär, S. C. Scherrer, K.Strassmann and P. Thalmann, 2014, Climate change in Switzerland: a review of physical, institutional, and political aspects, WIREs Climate Change, doi: 10.1002/wcc.280, Download PDF (PDF, 749 KB)
  120. Angelil, O., D.A. Stone, M. Tadross, F. Tummon, M. Wehner and R. Knutti, 2014, Attribution of extreme weather to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions: sensitivity to spatial and temporal scales, Geophysical Research Letters, 41, 2150–2155, doi: 10.1002/2014GL059234, Download PDF (PDF, 650 KB)
  121. Gerber, F., J. Sedláček and R. Knutti, 2014, Influence of the western North Atlantic and the Barents Sea on European winter climate, Geophysical Research Letters, 41, 561-567, doi: 10.1002/2013GL058778, Download PDF (PDF, 2.3 MB)
  122. Fischer, E.M and R. Knutti, 2014, Detection of spatially aggregated changes in temperature and precipitation extremes, Geophysical Research Letters, 41, doi:10.1002/2013GL058499, Download PDF (PDF, 1.1 MB)
  123. Friedlingstein, P., M.A. Meinshausen, V.K. Arora, C.D. Jones, A. Anav, S.K. Liddicoat and R. Knutti, 2014, Uncertainties in CMIP5 climate projections due to carbon cycle feedbacks, Journal of Climate, 27, 511-526, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00579.1, Download PDF (PDF, 1.4 MB)
  124. Fischer, E.M., U. Beyerle and R. Knutti, 2013, Robust spatially aggregated projections of climate extremes, Nature Climate Change, 3, 1033-1038, doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE2051, Download PDF (PDF, 3.8 MB), News and Views: M. G. Donat, Local noise and global confidence, Download PDF (PDF, 239 KB)
  125. Kopparla, P., E.M. Fischer, C. Hannay and R. Knutti, 2013, Improved simulation of extreme precipitation in a high resolution model, Geophysical Research Letters, 40, 5803-5808, doi: 10.1002/2013GL057866, Download PDF (PDF, 1.3 MB)
  126. Schaller, N., J. Cermak, M. Wild and R. Knutti, 2013, The sensitivity of the energy budget and hydrological cycle to CO2 and solar forcing, Earth System Dynamics, 4, 253-266, doi: 10.5194/esd-4-253-2013, Download PDF (PDF, 1016 KB)
  127. Frenger, I., N. Gruber, R. Knutti and M. Münnich, 2013, Imprint of Southern Ocean eddies on winds, clouds and rainfall, Nature Geoscience, 6, 608-612, doi: 10.1038/ngeo1863, Download PDF (PDF, 1014 KB)
  128. Otto, A., F. Otto, O. Boucher, J. Church, G. Hegerl, P. M. Forster, N. P. Gillett, J. Gregory, G. C. Johnson, R. Knutti, N. Lewis, U. Lohmann, J. Marotzke, G. Myhre, D. Shindell, B. Stevens and M. R. Allen, 2013, Energy budget constraints on climate response, Nature Geoscience, 415–416, doi: 10.1038/ngeo1836, Download PDF (PDF, 414 KB)
  129. Knutti, R., D. Masson and A. Gettelman, 2013, Climate model genealogy: Generation CMIP5 and how we got there, Geophysical Research Letters, 40, 1194-1199, doi: 10.1002/grl.50256, Download PDF (PDF, 254 KB)
  130. Lustenberger, A., E.M. Fischer and R. Knutti, 2013, The potential of pattern scaling for projecting temperature-related extreme indices, International Journal of Climatology, 34, 18-26, doi: 10.1002/joc.3659, Download PDF (PDF, 1.1 MB)
  131. Gregory, J.M., D. Bi, M.A. Collier, M.R. Dix, A.C. Hirst, A. Hu, M. Huber, R. Knutti, S.J. Marsland, M. Meinshausen, H.A. Rashid, L.D. Rotstayn, A. Schurer and J.A. Church, 2013, Climate models without pre-industrial volcanic forcing underestimate historical ocean thermal expansion, Geophysical Research Letters, 40, 1600-1604, doi: 10.1002/grl.50339, Download PDF (PDF, 247 KB)
  132. Masson, D. and R. Knutti, 2013, Predictor screening, calibration, and observational constraints in climate model ensembles: an illustration using climate sensitivity, Journal of Climate, 26, 887-898, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00540.1, Download PDF (PDF, 1.5 MB)
  133. PALAEOSENS Project Members (Rohling, E.J., Sluijs, A., Dijkstra, H.A., Köhler, P., van de Wal, R.S.W., von der Heydt, A.S., Beerling, D., Berger, A., Bijl, P.K., Crucifix, M., deConto, R., Drijfhout, S.S., Fedorov, A., Foster, G., Ganopolski, A., Hansen, J., Hönisch, B., Hooghiemstra, H., Huber, M., Huybers, P., Knutti, R., Lea, D.W., Lourens, L.J., Lunt, D., Masson-Demotte, V., Medina-Elizalde, M., Otto-Bliesner, B., Pagani, M., Pälike, H., Renssen, H., Royer, D.L., Siddall, M.,Valdes, P.,  Zachos, J.C., and Zeebe, R.E), 2012, Making sense of palaeoclimate sensitivity, 2012, Nature, 491, 683-691, doi: 10.1038/nature11574, Download PDF (PDF, 798 KB)
  134. Sedláček, J. and R. Knutti, 2012, Evidence for external forcing on 20th-century climate from combined ocean-atmosphere warming patterns, Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L20708, doi: 10.1029/2012GL053262, Download PDF (PDF, 3.8 MB)
  135. Knutti, R. and J. Sedláček, 2012, Robustness and uncertainties in the new CMIP5 climate model projections, Nature Climate Change, 3, 369-373, doi: 10.1038/nclimate1716, Download PDF (PDF, 4.9 MB)
  136. Deser, C., R. Knutti, S. Solomon and A.S. Phillips, 2012, Communication of the role of natural variability in future North American climate, Nature Climate Change, 2, 775-779, doi: 10.1038/nclimate1562, Download PDF (PDF, 3.8 MB)
  137. Fischer, E.M. and R. Knutti, 2012, Robust projections for combined humidity and temperature extremes, Nature Climate Change, 3, 126-130, doi: 10.1038/nclimate1682, Download PDF (PDF, 1.4 MB)
  138. Sanderson, B.M. and R. Knutti, 2012, On the interpretation of constrained climate model ensembles, Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L16708, doi: 10.1029/2012GL052665, Download PDF (PDF, 902 KB)
  139. Mahlstein, I. and R. Knutti, 2012, September Arctic sea ice predicted to disappear for 2°C global warming above present, Journal of Geophysical Research, 117, D06104, doi: 10.1029/2011JD016709, Download PDF (PDF, 1.2 MB)
  140. Knutti, R. and G.-K. Plattner, 2012, Comment on “Why Hasn’t Earth Warmed as Much as Expected?” by Schwartz et al., [Schwartz, S. E., R. J. Charlson, R. A. Kahn, J. A. Ogren, and H. Rodhe, 2010: Why hasn't the Earth warmed as much as expected? J. Climate, 23, 2453-2464, doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI3461.1], Journal of Climate, 25, 2192-2199, doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI4038.1, Download PDF (PDF, 724 KB)
  141. Mahlstein, I., R.W. Portmann, J.L. Daniel, S. Solomon and R. Knutti, 2012, Perceptible changes in regional precipitation in a future climate, Geophysical Research Letters, 39, L05701, doi: 10.1029/2011GL050738, Download PDF (PDF, 704 KB)
  142. Rogelj, J., M. Meinshausen and R. Knutti, 2012, Global warming under old and new scenarios using IPCC climate sensitivity range estimates, Nature Climate Change, 2, 248-253, doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE1385, Download PDF (PDF, 925 KB)
  143. Sedláček J., R. Knutti, O. Martius and U. Beyerle, 2012. Impact of a reduced Arctic sea-ice cover on ocean and atmospheric properties, Journal of Climate, 25, 307-319, doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI3904.1, Download PDF (PDF, 4.8 MB)
  144. Tebaldi, C, J. M. Arblaster and R. Knutti, 2011, Mapping model agreement on future climate projections, Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L23701, doi: 10.1029/2011GL049863, Download PDF (PDF, 2.2 MB)
  145. Huber, M. and R. Knutti, 2011, Anthropogenic and natural warming inferred from changes in Earth’s energy balance, Nature Geoscience, 5, 31-36, doi: 10.1038/NGEO1327, Download PDF (PDF, 470 KB)
  146. Friedlingstein, P., S. Solomon, G-K. Plattner, R. Knutti, P. Ciais and M.R. Raupach, 2011, Long-term climate implications of twenty-first century options for carbon dioxide emission mitigation, Nature Climate Change, 1, 457-461, doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE1302, Download PDF (PDF, 530 KB)
  147. Fischer, A.M., A.P. Weigel, C.M. Buser, R. Knutti, H.R. Künsch, M A. Liniger, C. Schär, and C. Appenzeller, 2011, Climate change projections for Switzerland based on a Bayesian multi model approach, International Journal of Climatology, 32, 2348-2371, doi: 10.1002/joc.3396, Download PDF (PDF, 1.2 MB)
  148. Mahlstein, I., R. Knutti, S. Solomon and R. W. Portmann, 2011, Early onset of significant local warming in low latitude countries, Environmental Research Letters, 6, 034009, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034009, Download PDF (PDF, 789 KB)
  149. Sanderson, B.M., B. O'Neill, J.T. Kiehl, G.A. Meehl, R. Knutti and W.M. Washington, 2011, The response of the climate system to very high greenhouse gas emission scenarios, Environmental Research Letters, 6, 034005, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034005, Download PDF (PDF, 1.2 MB)
  150. Masson, D. and R. Knutti, 2011, Spatial scale dependence of climate model performance in the CMIP3 ensemble, Journal of Climate, 24, 2680-2692, doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI3513.1, Download PDF (PDF, 3.1 MB)
  151. Sedláček, J., O. Martius and R. Knutti, 2011, Influence of subtropical and polar sea-surface temperature anomalies on temperatures in Eurasia, Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L12803, doi: 10.1029/2011GL047764, Download PDF (PDF, 1.7 MB)
  152. Schaller, N., I. Mahlstein, J. Cermak and R. Knutti, 2011, Analyzing precipitation projections: A comparison of different approaches to climate model evaluation, Journal of Geophysical Research, 116, D10118, doi: 10.1029/2010JD014963, Download PDF (PDF, 2 MB)
  153. Masson, D. and R. Knutti, 2011, Climate model genealogy, Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L08703, doi: 10.1029/2011GL046864, Download PDF (PDF, 370 KB)
  154. Mahlstein, I. and R. Knutti, 2011, Ocean heat transport as a cause for model uncertainty in projected Arctic warming, Journal of Climate, 24, 1451-1460, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3713.1, Download PDF (PDF, 2 MB)
  155. Huber, M., R. Knutti, I. Mahlstein, M. Wild and J. Fasullo, 2011, Constraints on climate sensitivity from radiation patterns in climate models, Journal of Climate, 24, 1034-1052, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3403.1, Download PDF (PDF, 2.6 MB)
  156. Bahn, O., N.R. Edwards, R. Knutti and T.F. Stocker, 2011, Energy policies avoiding a tipping point in the climate system, Energy Policy, 39, 334-348, doi: 10.1016/j.enpol.2010.10.002, Download PDF (PDF, 1 MB)
  157. Cermak, J., M. Wild, R. Knutti, M.I. Mishchenko and A.K. Heidinger, 2010, Consistency between global satellite-derived aerosol and cloud data sets on recent brightening trends, Geophysical Research Letters, 37, L21704, doi: 10.1029/2010GL044632, Download PDF (PDF, 3.2 MB)
  158. Solomon, S., J. S. Daniel, T. J. Sanford, D. M. Murphy, G.-K. Plattner, R. Knutti and P. Friedlingstein, 2010, Persistence of climate change due to a range of greenhouse gases, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 107, 18354-18359, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1006282107, Download PDF (PDF, 509 KB)
  159. Weigel, A. R. Knutti, M. Liniger and C. Appenzeller, 2010, Risks of model weighting in multi-model climate projections, Journal of Climate, 23, 4175-4191, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3594.1, Download PDF (PDF, 1.3 MB)
  160. Knutti, R., R. Furrer, C. Tebaldi, J. Cermak and G.A. Meehl, 2010, Challenges in combining projections from multiple models, Journal of Climate, 23, 2739-2758, doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI3361.1, Download PDF (PDF, 2.1 MB)
  161. Knutti, R., The end of model democracy?, 2010, Editorial for Climatic Change, 102, 395-404, doi: 10.1007/s10584-010-9800-2, Download PDF (PDF, 238 KB)
  162. Perch-Nielsen, S.L., Amelung, B. and R. Knutti, 2010, Future Climate Resources for Tourism in Europe based on the daily Tourism Climatic Index, Climatic Change, 103, 363-381, doi: 10.1007/s10584-009-9772-2, Download PDF (PDF, 807 KB)
  163. Köhler, P., R. Bintanja, H. Fischer, F. Joos, R. Knutti, G. Lohmann, and V. Masson-Delmotte, 2010, What caused Earth's temperature variations during the last 800,000 years? Data-based evidences on radiative forcing and constraints on climate sensitivity, Quaternary Science Reviews, 29, 129-145, doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2009.09.026, Download PDF (PDF, 2.9 MB)
  164. Tomassini, L., R. Knutti, G.-K. Plattner, D. Van Vuuren, T.F. Stocker, R.B. Howarth, and M.E. Borsuk, 2010, Uncertainty and risk in climate projections for the 21st century: comparing mitigation to non-intervention scenarios, Climatic Change, 103, 399-422, doi: 10.1007/s10584-009-9763-3, Download PDF (PDF, 554 KB)
  165. Tomassini, L., P. Reichert, H.-R. Künsch, C. Buser, R. Knutti and M.E. Borsuk, 2010, A smoothing algorithm for estimating stochastic, continuous-time model parameters and its application to a simple climate model, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society (Series C Applied Statistics), 58 (5), 679-704, Download PDF (PDF, 1.7 MB)
  166. Mahlstein, I., and R. Knutti, 2010, Regional climate change patterns identified by cluster analysis, Climate Dynamics, 35, 587-600, doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0654-0, Download PDF (PDF, 1.5 MB)
  167. Cermak, J. and R. Knutti, 2009, Beijing Olympics as an aerosol field experiment, Geophysical Research Letters, 36, L10806, doi: 10.1029/2009GL038572, Download PDF (PDF, 224 KB)
  168. Meinshausen, M., N. Meinshausen, W. Hare, S. C. B. Raper, K. Frieler, R. Knutti, D. J. Frame and M. R. Allen, 2009, Greenhouse gas emission targets for limiting global warming to 2°C. Nature, 458, 1158-1163, doi: 10.1038/nature08017, Download PDF (PDF, 2.8 MB), Download PDF News and Views (PDF, 1.5 MB).
  169. Washington, W. M., R. Knutti, G. A. Meehl, H. Teng, C. Tebaldi, D. Lawrence, L. Buja, and W. G. Strand, 2009, How much climate change can be avoided by mitigation?, Geophysical Research Letters, 36, L08703, doi: 10.1029/2008GL037074, Download PDF (PDF, 1.5 MB)
  170. Solomon, S., G.-K. Plattner, R. Knutti and P. Friedlingstein, 2009, Irreversible climate change due to carbon dioxide emissions, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 106, 1704-1709, doi: 10.1073/pnas.0812721106, Download PDF (PDF, 982 KB)
  171. Knutti, R. and G. C. Hegerl, 2008, The equilibrium sensitivity of the Earth’s temperature to radiation changes, Nature Geoscience, 1, 735-743, doi: 10.1038/ngeo337, Download PDF (PDF, 671 KB)
  172. Jun, M., R. Knutti and D. W. Nychka, 2008, Spatial analysis to quantify numerical model bias and dependence: How many climate models are there?, Journal of the American Statistical Association Applications and Case Studies, 103 (483), 934-947 doi: 10.1198/016214507000001265, Download PDF (PDF, 1.4 MB)
  173. Knutti, R., Should we believe model predictions of future climate change?, 2008, Triennial Issue Earth Science of Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 366, 4647-4664, doi: 10.1098/rsta.2008.0169, Download PDF (PDF, 1.2 MB)
  174. Jun, M., R. Knutti and D. W. Nychka, 2008, Local eigenvalue analysis of CMIP3 climate model errors, Tellus, 60A, 992-1000, Download PDF (PDF, 650 KB)
  175. Knutti, R., 2008, Why are climate models reproducing the observed global surface warming so well?, Geophysical Research Letters, 35, L18704, doi: 10.1029/2008GL034932, Download PDF (PDF, 965 KB)
  176. Knutti, R., S.Krähenmann, D. J. Frame and M. R. Allen, 2008, Comment on ‘Heat capacity, time constant and sensitivity of Earth’s climate system’ by S. E. Schwartz, JGR, 113, D15103, doi: 10.1029/2007JD009473, Download PDF (PDF, 188 KB)
  177. Plattner, G.-K., R. Knutti, F. Joos, T. F. Stocker, W. von Bloh, V. Brovkin, D. Cameron, E. Driesschaert, S. Dutkiewicz, M. Eby, N. R. Edwards, T. Fichefet, J. C. Hargreaves, C. D. Jones, M. F. Loutre, H. D. Matthews, A. Mouchet, S. A. Mueller, S. Nawrath, A. Price, A. Sokolov, K. M. Strassmann, and A. J. Weaver, 2008, Long-term climate commitments projected with climate - carbon cycle models. Journal of Climate, 21, 2721-2751, Download PDF (PDF, 2.3 MB)
  178. Flückiger, J., R. Knutti, J. W. C. White and H. Renssen, 2008, Modeled seasonality of glacial abrupt climate change, Climate Dynamics, 31, 633-645, doi: 10.1007/s00382-008-0373-y, Download PDF (PDF, 1.2 MB)
  179. Knutti, R., M. R. Allen, P. Friedlingstein, J. M. Gregory, G. C. Hegerl, G. A. Meehl, M. Meinshausen, J. M. Murphy, G.-K. Plattner, S. C. B. Raper, T. F. Stocker, P. A. Stott, H. Teng and T. M. L Wigley, 2008, A review of uncertainties in global temperature projections over the twenty-first century, Journal of Climate, 21, 2651-2663, Download PDF (PDF, 834 KB)
  180. Sanderson, B., R. Knutti, T. Aina, C. Christensen, N. Faull, D. J. Frame, W. J. Ingram, C. Piani, D. A. Stainforth, D. A. Stone and M. R. Allen, 2008, Constraints on model response to greenhouse gas forcing and the role of subgrid scale processes, Journal of Climate, 21, 2384-2400 Download PDF (PDF, 1.6 MB)
  181. Knutti, R. and L. Tomassini, 2008, Constraints on the transient climate response from observed global temperature and ocean heat uptake, Geophysical Research Letters, 35, L09701, doi: 10.1029/2007GL032904, Download PDF (PDF, 405 KB)
  182. Tebaldi, C. and R. Knutti, 2007, The use of the multi-model ensemble in probabilistic climate projections, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society  A, 365, 2053-2075, doi: 10.1098/rsta.2007.2076, Download PDF (PDF, 279 KB)
  183. Tomassini, L., P. Reichert, R. Knutti, T. F. Stocker and M. Borsuk, 2007, Robust Bayesian uncertainty analysis of climate system properties using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, Journal of Climate, 20, 1239-1254, Download PDF (PDF, 615 KB)
  184. Furrer, R., R. Knutti, S. Sain, D. Nychka and G.A. Meehl, 2006, Spatial patterns of probabilistic temperature change projections from a multivariate Bayesian analysis, Geophysical Research Letters, 34, L06711, doi: 10.1029/2006GL027754, Download PDF (PDF, 505 KB),  Download PDF of supplementary material
  185. Bahn, O., L. Drouet, N.R. Edwards, A. Haurie, S. Kypreos, R. Knutti, T.F. Stocker and J.-P. Vial, 2006, The coupling of optimal economic growth and climate dynamics, Climatic Change, 79, 103-119, doi:10.1007/s10584-006-9108-4ss, Download PDF (PDF, 483 KB)
  186. Knutti, R., G.A. Meehl, M.R. Allen and D. A. Stainforth, 2006, Constraining climate sensitivity from the seasonal cycle in surface temperature, Journal of Climate, 19 (17), 4224-4233, Download PDF (PDF, 807 KB)
  187. Flückiger, J., R. Knutti, J.W.C. White, 2006, Oceanic processes as potential trigger and amplifying mechanisms for Heinrich events, Paleoceanography, 21, PA2014, doi:10.1029/2005PA001204.Download PDF (PDF, 743 KB)
  188. Knutti, R., F. Joos, S.A. Mueller, G.K. Plattner and T.F. Stocker, 2005, Probabilistic climate change projections for stabilization profiles, Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L20707, doi:10.1029/2005GL023294, Download PDF (PDF, 240 KB)
  189. Rahmstorf, S., M. Crucifix, A. Ganopolski, H. Goosse, I. Kamenkovich, R. Knutti, G. Lohmann, R. Marsh, L.A. Mysak, Z. Wang, A. J. Weaver, 2005, Thermohaline circulation hysteresis: a model intercomparison, Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L23605, doi: 10.1029/2005GL023655 Download PDF (PDF, 211 KB)
  190. Köhler, P., F. Joos, S. Gerber and R. Knutti, 2005, Simulating changes in vegetation distribution, land carbon storage, and atmospheric CO2 in response to a collapse of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation, Climate Dynamics 25, 689-708, doi: 10.1007/s00382-005-0058-8 Download PDF (PDF, 1.5 MB)
  191. Knutti, R., J. Flückiger, T.F. Stocker and A. Timmermann, 2004, Strong hemispheric coupling of glacial climate through freshwater discharge and ocean circulation, Nature 430, 851-856. Download PDF Download Supplementary Material Download Nature: News & Views
  192. Knutti, R., T. F. Stocker, F. Joos and G.-K. Plattner, 2003, Probabilistic climate change projections using neural networks, Climate Dynamics, 257-272, doi: 10.1007/s00382-003-0345-1. Download PDF (PDF, 474 KB)
  193. Anderson, T.L., R.J. Charlson, S.E. Schwartz, R. Knutti, O. Boucher, H. Rodhe and J. Heintzenberg, 2003, Climate forcing by aerosols - a hazy picture, Science 300, 1103-1104. Download PDF
  194. Knutti, R., T.F. Stocker, F. Joos and G.-K. Plattner, 2002, Constraints on radiative forcing and future climate change from observations and climate model ensembles, Nature 416, 719-723. Download PDF, related Download News&Views
  195. Knutti, R. and T.F. Stocker, 2002, Limited predictability of the future thermohaline circulation close to an instability threshold, Journal of Climate, 15, 179-186. Download PDF (PDF, 185 KB)
  196. Knutti, R. and T.F. Stocker, 2000, Influence of the thermohaline circulation on projected sea level rise, Journal of Climate, 13, 1997-2001. Download PDF (PDF, 58 KB)
  197. Knutti, R., T.F. Stocker and D.G. Wright, 2000, The effects of sub-grid-scale parameterizations in a zonally averaged ocean model, Journal of Physical Oceanography, 30, 2738-2752. Download PDF (PDF, 255 KB)

Books chapters and reports

  1. Stocker, T. F., R. Knutti, G.-K. Plattner, 2001, The future of the thermohaline circulation - a perspective, In: The Ocean and Rapid Climate Changes: Past, Present, and Future, D. Seidov et al. (eds.), Geophysical Monograph 126, American Geophysical Union, 277-293. Download PDF
  2. Allen, M., N. Andronova, B. Booth, S. Dessai, D. Frame, C. Forest, J. Gregory, G. Hegerl, R. Knutti, C. Piani, D. Sexton, D. Stainforth, 2006, Observational constraints on climate sensitivity, in Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change, (Eds.) J.S. Schellnhuber, W. Cramer, N. Nakicenovic, T.M.L. Wigley, G. Yohe., Cambridge Univ. Press.Download PDF or Download PDF of complete book, see chapter 29
  3. Tebaldi, C. and R. Knutti, 2009, Climate models and their projections of future changes, in: external page Climate change and food security, edited by D. B. Lobell and M. Burke, Springer Series: Advances in Global Change Research, Vol. 37, 10.1007/978-90-481-2953-9, Springer Netherlands, pp. 31-56
  4. Knutti, R., 2009, Klima und Energie, in: Energie, Reihe Zürcher Hochschulforum, edited by P.R. von Rohr et al., pp. 209-220
  5. Stone, D.A., and R. Knutti, 2010, Weather and Climate, in: external page Modeling the impact of climate change on water resources, edited by C.F. Fung, A. Lopez and M. New, Blackwell Publishing, pp. 4-33
  6. CH2011, 2011, Swiss Climate Change Scenarios CH2011, published by C2SM, MeteoSwiss, ETH, NCCR Climate, and OcCC, Zurich, Switzerland, 88 pp.
    ISBN: 978-3-033-03065-7, external page Full report, summary and data available here
  7. Füssler, J., M. Herren, M. Guyer, J. Rogelj and R. Knutti, 2012, Emission pathways to reach 2°C target, Report by INFRAS and IAC ETH commissioned by the Swiss Federal Office for the Environment, Download PDF (PDF, 988 KB)
  8. Knutti, R., 2012, Modeling environmental change and developing future projections, in: Handbook of Environmental Change, SAGE Publications, edited by J.A. Matthews, ISBN: 9780857023605
  9. Wolff, E. W., S. P. Harrison, R. Knutti, M. F. Sanchez-Goñi, O. Wild, A.-L. Daniau, V. Masson-Delmotte, I. C. Prentice and R. Spahni, 2012, How has climate responded to natural perturbations, in: external page Understanding the Earth System, eds. S. Cornell, I.C. Prentice, J. House and C. Downy, Cambridge University Press, ISBN-13: 9781107009363
  10. Sanderson, B. J. and R. Knutti, 2012, Climate Change Projections: Multi-Model Ensembles, in: Encyclopedia of Sustainability Science and Technology, Springer, ISBN 978-0-387-89469-0
  11. Klimaziele und Emissionsreduktion: Eine Analyse und politische Vision für die Schweiz, 2012, OCCC, Download PDF (PDF, 3.8 MB)
  12. Van den Hurk, B., P. Braconnot, V. Eyring, P. Friedlingstein, P. Gleckler, R. Knutti and J. Teixeira, 2013, Assessing the Reliability of Climate Models, CMIP5, in: G.R. Asrar and J.W. Hurrell (eds.), Climate Science for Serving Society: Research, Modeling and Prediction Priorities, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht, doi:10.1007/978-94-007-6692-1_9, 237-248 Download PDF (PDF, 125 KB)
  13. von Waldow, H., A. M. Fischer, S. Kotlarski, E. Zubler, C. Appenzeller, I. Bey, T. Bosshard, P. Calanca, M. Croci-Maspoli, E. M. Fischer, J. Fuhrer, R. Hohmann, R. Knutti, C. Kull, M. A. Liniger, A. Lustenberger, C. Ritz, C. Schär, S. C. Scherrer, 2014, Data basis of CH2014-Impacts – The Swiss Climate Change Scenarios CH2011, in: CH2014-Impacts, 2014, external page Toward Quantitative Scenarios of Climate Change Impacts in Switzerland, published by OCCR, FOEN, MeteoSwiss, C2SM, Agroscope, and ProClim, Bern, Switzerland, 136 pp., ISBN 978-3-033-04406-7
  14. Akademien der Wissenschaften Schweiz, 2016, external page Brennpunkt Klima Schweiz. Grundlagen, Folgen und Perspektiven, Swiss Academies Reports 11 (5)
  15. Knutti, R., 2018, Climate Model Confirmation: From Philosophy to Predicting Climate in the Real World, in: external page Climate Modelling - Philosophical and Conceptual Issues, edited by E. A. Lloyd and E. Winsberg, doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-65058-6, ISBN 978-3-319-65057-9
  16. Knutti, R., C. Baumberger, G. Hirsch Hadorn, 2019, Uncertainty quantification using multiple models — Prospects and challenges, Computer simulation validation, 835-855, Springer, external page PDF.
  17. Schäfer, M. S., T. Füchslin, G.-A. Casutt, S. Suggs, K. Aberer, P. Burkard, A. Godi-nho, C. Hirschi, A. Jacobs, O. Jarren, A. Kaufmann, R. Knutti, M. Maier, J. Metag, T. Müller, B. Strasser, A. Weichselbraun, 2021, Science in the Swiss Public. The State of Science Communication and Public Engagement with Science in Switzer-land, Swiss Academies Reports, 16, 8, doi: 10.5281/ZENODO.4974311, external page PDF.
  18. Knüsel, B., C. Baumberger and R. Knutti, Climate research and Big Data, 2023, Handbook of Phllosophy of Climate Change, Springer, external page PDF.

Other unreviewed articles (newest first)

  1. Knutti, R. (2019). Closing the Knowledge-Action Gap in Climate Change. One Earth, 1(1), 21-23, doi: 10.1016/j.oneear.2019.09.001, external page PDF.
  2. Hagedorn, G., P. Kalmus, M. Mann, S. Vicca, J. Van den Berge, J.-P. van Ypersele, D. Bourg, J. Rotmans, R. Kaaronen, S. Rahmstorf, H. Kromp-Kolb, G. Kirchengast, R. Knutti, S. I. Seneviratne, P. Thalmann, R. Cretney, A. Green, K. Anderson, M. Hedberg, D. Nilsson, A. Kuttner, K. Hayhoe, 2019, Concerns of young protesters are justified, Science, 364, external page PDF.
  3. Hagedorn, G., T. Loew, S. I. Seneviratne, W. Lucht, M.-L. Beck, J. Hesse, R. Knutti, V. Quaschning, J.-H. Schleimer, L. Mattauch, C. Breyer, H. Hübener, G. Kirchengast, A. Chodura, J. Clausen, F. Creutzig, M. Darbi, C.-H. Daub, F. Ekardt, M. Göpel, N. H. Judith, J. Hertin, T. Hickler, A. Köhncke, S. Köster, J. Krohmer, H. Kromp-Kolb, P. Leinfelder, L. Mederake, M. Neuhaus, S. Rahmstorf, C. Schmidt, C. Schneider, G. Schneider, R. Seppelt, U. Spindler, M. Springmann, K. Staab, T. F. Stocker, K. Steininger, E. von Hirschhausen, W. Winter, M. Wittau and J. Zens, 2019, The concerns of the young protesters are justified: A statement by Scientists for Future concerning the protests for more climate protection, GAIA - Ecol. Perspect. Sci. Soc., 28(2), 79–87, doi: 10.14512/gaia.28.2.3, external page PDF.
  4. Knutti, R., 2018, A wider role for climate scenarios, Nature Sustainability News and Views, 1, 214-215, doi: 10.1038/s41893-018-0067-3, external page PDF.
  5. Sanderson, B.M. and R. Knutti, 2017, Delays in US mitigation could rule out Paris targets, Nature Climate Change Commentary, 7, 92-94, doi: 10.1038/nclimate3193, external page PDF.
  6. Rogelj, J. and R. Knutti, Geosciences after Paris, Nature Geoscience Commentary, external page PDF
  7. Fischer, E. M. and R. Knutti, 2014, Heated debate on cold weather, Nature Climate Change News and Views, 4, 537-538, Download PDF (PDF, 162 KB)
  8. Knutti, R., 2012, Von nichts kommt nichts, Physik in unserer Zeit, 43, 107, Download PDF (PDF, 88 KB)
  9. Eyring, V., R. Knutti and C. Textor, 2011, IEEE GRSS welcomes contributions of the society members to the preparation of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Reprort, IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Society Newsletter, September 2011, Download PDF (PDF, 185 KB)
  10. Allen, M.R., D. Frame, K. Frieler, W. Hare, C. Huntingford, C. Jones, R. Knutti, J. Lowe, M. Meinshausen, N. Meinshausen and S. Raper, 2009, The exit strategy, Nature Reports Cimate Change, 3, 56-59, Download PDF (PDF, 329 KB)
  11. Knutti, R., 2009, Climate change -  How much do we know?, Asia Insurance Review, February 2009, 60-61, Download PDF (PDF, 219 KB)
  12. Knutti, R., 2008, Climate change -  How much do we know?, Geneva Association Information Newsletter, November 2008, 5-6
  13. Knutti, R., 2008, Preface in: Green IT - Studie und Leitfaden zur Gestaltung nachhaltiger IT-Infrastrukturen, Sieber und Partner, 7-9 (in german)
  14. Knutti, R., 2008, Hotter or not? Should we believe model predictions of future climate?, Significance (Royal Statistical Society), 5, 159-162, Download PDF (PDF, 1.5 MB)
  15. Knutti, R., 2005, Evaluating climate impacts with intermediate complexity models, Extended abstract in the meeting report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Expert Meeting on Emission Scenarios, Washington D.C., USA, 35-37.external page Full meeting report (3.4 MB)
  16. Knutti, R., 2004, Twentieth century climate and probabilistic estimates of climate sensitivity, Extended abstract in the meeting report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Workshop on Climate Sensitivity, Paris, France, 113-114.external page Full meeting report (4.4 MB)
  17. Renold M., U. Beyerle, C.C. Raible, R. Knutti, T.F. Stocker, T. Craig, 2004, Climate modeling with a Linux cluster. EOS: Transactions of the American Geophysical Union. 85, 290. external page PDF (0.2 MB)
  18. Stocker, T.F., and R. Knutti, 2003, Do simplified models have any useful skill. CLIVAR Exchanges 8 (1), 7-10. external page PDF (0.8 MB)
  19. Stocker, T.F., and R. Knutti, 2001, Predictability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation under global warming. CLIVAR Exchanges 6 (3), 5-7. external page PDF (0.34 MB)

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (newest first)

  1. Drafting author of: IPCC, 2013: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. external page PDF
  2. Lead author of: Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, L.V. Alexander, S.K. Allen, N.L. Bindoff, F.-M. Bréon, J.A. Church, U. Cubasch, S. Emori, P. Forster, P. Friedlingstein, N. Gillett, J.M. Gregory, D.L. Hartmann, E. Jansen, B. Kirtman, R. Knutti, K. Krishna Kumar, P. Lemke, J. Marotzke, V. Masson-Delmotte, G.A. Meehl, I.I. Mokhov, S. Piao, V. Ramaswamy, D. Randall, M. Rhein, M. Rojas, C. Sabine, D. Shindell, L.D. Talley, D.G. Vaughan and S.-P. Xie, 2013: Technical Summary. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
  3. Coordinating lead author of: Collins, M., R. Knutti, J. Arblaster, J.-L. Dufresne, T. Fichefet, P. Friedlingstein, X. Gao, W.J. Gutowski, T. Johns, G. Krinner, M. Shongwe, C. Tebaldi, A.J. Weaver and M. Wehner, 2013: Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
  4. Contributing author to: Masson-Delmotte, V., M. Schulz, A. Abe-Ouchi, J. Beer, A. Ganopolski, J.F. González Rouco, E. Jansen, K. Lambeck, J. Luterbacher, T. Naish, T. Osborn, B. Otto-Bliesner, T. Quinn, R. Ramesh, M. Rojas, X. Shao and A. Timmermann, 2013: Information from Paleoclimate Archives. In: Climate Change  2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
  5. Contributing author to: Flato, G., J. Marotzke, B. Abiodun, P. Braconnot, S.C. Chou, W. Collins, P. Cox, F. Driouech, S. Emori, V. Eyring, C. Forest, P. Gleckler, E. Guilyardi, C. Jakob, V. Kattsov, C. Reason and M. Rummukainen, 2013: Evaluation of Climate Models. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
  6. Contributing author to: Bindoff, N.L., P.A. Stott, K.M. AchutaRao, M.R. Allen, N. Gillett, D. Gutzler, K. Hansingo, G. Hegerl, Y. Hu, S. Jain, I.I. Mokhov, J. Overland, J. Perlwitz, R. Sebbari and X. Zhang, 2013: Detection and Attribution of Climate Change: from Global to Regional. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.
  7. Knutti, R., G. Abramowitz, M. Collins, V. Eyring, P.J. Gleckler, B. Hewitson, and L. Mearns, 2010: Good Practice Guidance Paper on Assessing and Combining Multi Model Climate Projections. In: Meeting Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Expert Meeting on Assessing and Combining Multi Model Climate Projections [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. IPCC Working Group I Technical Support Unit, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland, Download PDF (PDF, 841 KB)
  8. Forster, P., G. Hegerl, R. Knutti, V. Ramaswamy, S. Solomon, T. F. Stocker, P. Stott and F. Zwiers, 2007, Assessing uncertainty in climate simulations , Nature Reports Climate Change, 4, 63-64 Download PDF (PDF, 653 KB). In reply to the comment: Schwartz, S. E., R. J. Charlson and H. Rodhe, Quantifying climate change - too rosy a picture? Nature Reports Climate Change, 1, 23-24 Download PDF (PDF, 126 KB).
  9. Lead author of: Meehl, G.A., T.F. Stocker, W.D. Collins, P. Friedlingstein, A.T. Gaye, J.M. Gregory, A. Kitoh, R. Knutti, J.M. Murphy, A. Noda, S.C.B. Raper, I.G. Watterson, A.J. Weaver and Z.-C. Zhao, 2007: Global Climate Projections. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. external page PDF (12.0 MB)
  10. Contributing author to: Hegerl, G.C., F. W. Zwiers, P. Braconnot, N.P. Gillett, Y. Luo, J.A. Marengo Orsini, N. Nicholls, J.E. Penner and P.A. Stott, 2007: Understanding and Attributing Climate Change. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. external page PDF (5.8 MB)
  11. Contributing author to: Christensen, J.H., B. Hewitson, A. Busuioc, A. Chen, X. Gao, I. Held, R. Jones, R.K. Kolli, W.-T. Kwon, R. Laprise, V. Magana Rueda, L. Mearns, C.G. Menendez, J. Raisanen, Rinke, A. Sarr and P. Whetton, 2007: Regional Climate Projections. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. external page PDF (6.8 MB)
  12. Draft contributing author to: IPCC, 2007: Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M.Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. external page PDF (3.0 MB)
    German Translation/Deutsche Uebersetzung von Proclim: external page PDF (3.0 MB)
  13. Contributing author to: Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, R.B. Alley, T. Berntsen, N.L. Bindoff, Z. Chen, A. Chidthaisong, J.M. Gregory, G.C. Hegerl, M. Heimann, B. Hewitson, B.J. Hoskins, F. Joos, J. Jouzel, V. Kattsov, U. Lohmann, T. Matsuno, M. Molina, N. Nicholls, J. Overpeck, G. Raga, V. Ramaswamy, J. Ren, M. Rusticucci, R. Somerville, T.F. Stocker, P. Whetton, R.A. Wood and D. Wratt, 2007: Technical Summary. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. external page PDF (15.5 MB)
  14. Contributing author to: Cubasch, U., G. A. Meehl, G. J. Boer, R. J. Stouffer, M. Dix, A. Noda, C. A. Senior, S. Raper and K. S. Yap, Projections of Future Climate Change, in Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by J. T. Houghton, Y. Ding, D. J. Griggs, M. Noguer, P. J. van der Linden, X. Dai, K. Maskell, and C. A. Johnson, Cambridge Univ. Press, New York, 881 pp.

Diploma thesis

  • Knutti, R., 1999, Parametrisierungen von sub-skaligen Mischungsprozessen in einem zonal gemittelten Ozean-Modell, Diploma Thesis, Climate and Evironmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern, Switzerland, 143 pp.

Ph.D thesis

  • Knutti, R., 2002, Modelling studies on the probability and predictability of future climate change, PhD Thesis, Physics Institute, University of Bern, 138 pp.
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